I'm pretty excited for Tuesday's card considering there are ten pitchers with ERA's under 3.00 over their last three starts and only six cold starters with ERA's over 6.00 over their last three starts combined. I'm look forward to our free play below as it is a rare 3* mlb sports pick that we are giving away for free. We normally give away 1-2* on our free plays but there are certain things about tomorrow's match up that I'm digging.
Tigers -109 (3* FREE PLAY)
Doug Fister gets the call and he seems to have finally found what he had during the second half of last year. He's posted a 3-0 record, 0.86 WHIP, and a 2.57 ERA. Now he faces the Indians who continue to hit righties hard in the top 10 in the league, but they have struggled against Fister over their careers posting just a .600 OPS in a large sample of 193 AB. Why is Fister successful against the Indians, who lead the league in BB's. Well it comes down to his control and right now he seems to have a good grasp of it. Oh and he's on extra rest compared to Ubaldo Jiminez on just 4 days. Fister also over his last 4 vs. the Indians posts a 1.21 ERA while striking out 32 guys in 29.2 innings and walking just 4 for a 0.74 WHIP.
That's not the only reason why I like the Tigers on Tuesday. Their bats have also been great as they are 2nd with a .829 OPS in the month of July, 3rd overall vs. RHP and 6th on the road. Jiminez has been good at home despite walking over 4.5 guys per 9 posting a 3.66 ERA. He's allowed 5.48 guys to get on base via the walk per 9 on the season and at home he's also gotten a little lucky with a 82.1 left on base percentage. His xFIP is a clearer indicator on just how good his stuff is and at home he has a 5.29 XFIP. It's also going to be challenging considering the Tigers are 7th in OPS with runners on and #1 in average. They are also #1 in average and OPS with runners in scoring position something Jiminez won't want to hear considering the Tigers success of an .855 OPS and a .308 average in 182 AB. The Tigers are now 35-17 in their last 52 road games vs. a RH starter.
Notable Hot Starters:
Cliff Lee (1-2, 0.95 WHIP, 2.05 ERA)
Travis Blackley (2-1, 1.03 WHIP, 2.79 ERA)
Paul Maholm (3-0, 1.05 WHIP, 1.29 ERA)
Tim Hudson (3-0, 1.36 WHIP, 2.95 ERA)
Mark Buehrle (2-1, 1.07 WHIP, 2.29 ERA)
Carlos Quintana (2-1, 0.90 WHIP, 2.57 ERA)
Adam Wainwright (1-2, 1.03 WHIP, 2.79 ERA)
Felix Hernandez (2-1, 0.85 WHIP, 0.73 ERA)
Edinson Volquez (3-0, 1.10 WHIP, 1.71 ERA)
Cold Starter Of The Day:
Though this is not going to be any sort of a sports pick that is backed by our sports monitor we still like to give out the cold pitcher with the best shot at winning because often times there is a lot of value. Today's pitcher is Brett Cecil who posts a 6.62 ERA over his last three starts as he faces the Oakland Athletics at home. The A's have been a different team on the road and Cecil has two quality starts against them.
Notable Cold Starters:
Zach Greinke (2-1, 2.25 WHIP, 10.12 ERA)
Ubaldo Jiminez (1-2, 2.07 WHIP, 9.64 ERA)
R.A. Dickey (2-1, 1.71 WHIP, 6.05 ERA)
Will Smith (1-2, 1.53 WHIP, 6.88 ERA)
Garrett Richards (2-1, 2.04 WHIP, 6.89 ERA)
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