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4.4** NCAAF POD - On Fire Right Now! -

PostPosted: Fri Nov 18, 2011 9:06 pm
by Pick Bot
Freddy Wills's Comments
Don't miss out on tonight's NCAAF POD w/ bonus play backed by a full in depth analysis. I have now discounted my college football package and we have been dominating this season with 64% ATS winners and we are already 3-1 this week coming off a 2-0 night last night. This play is guaranteed or Saturday's 6 play card is FREE!
Freddy Wills's Pick
Iowa State +28 (4.4* NCAAF POD); Iowa +2250 (1* play)
First off I feel Iowa State matches up really well with Oklahoma St in the fact that they can run the ball and they can defend the pass those are the two things they do best on offense and defense and we will get into it in more detail, but Iowa State has an extra 7 days and they are fighting for bowl eligibility right now and Oklahoma State as 4 TD favorites have to be looking past this game to Oklahoma. Oklahoma was 28 point favorites to Texas Tech and lost so why can't Iowa State take down Oklahoma State? Oklahoma State is ranked 101st in yards allowed this year.

It's all about QB play of Jared Barnett who is averaging 5.24 yards per carry. Oklahoma State had all kinds of issues with the trio of dual threat QB's they've faced this year in Kansas Sate Collin Klein, James Franklin, Missouri and Robert Griffin of Baylor. Another key to Oklahoma's season has been forcing turnovers and they have forced a lot. Iowa State has the tendency to be careless but over their last 3 games they have gotten much better and I think the extra prep has only helped them prepare for this. Also Iowa State's defense which has allowed just 12 passing TD's all season has held their last 3 opponents to 27.9% conversions on 3rd downs. Overall 36% at home and their Red Zone defense goes right along with that as they have allowed just 8 TD on red zone appearances at home this year in 21 attempts for just 38%. IF Oklahoma State gets stopped and they aren't overly impressive in the red zone just 60% touchdowns on the road and 64% in conference play then I think Iowa State will easily cover this spread. This spread is all about the hype of Oklahoma State can they handle the pressure when they are the hunted?