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3** Late Night Fix - #MountainWest Conference Championship

  
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3** Late Night Fix - #MountainWest Conference Championship

Postby Pick Bot » Sat Dec 07, 2013 11:03 pm




Utah State +140 3* Late Night Fix
I don't see how Fresno State can mentally prepare for this game after they just had their dreams crashed last week in embarassing fashion giving up 62 points to San Jose State. Now normally you could see a team rebounding in a conference title game, but Fresno is due for a rude awakening. For the first time they will face a defense that's legit. They've faced 1 top 75 pass defense in UNLV, but UNLV was ranked 107th vs. the run. They have faced a trio of top 25 run defenses but none of which were ranked in the top 75 in pass defense. Utah State is ranked 3rd against the run and 15th in opposing QB rating.

How good is Utah State's defense well they did allow 336 yards to David Fales of San Jose State on the road, but he threw 0 TD and had 3 interceptions and they held them to just 10 points 52 less than Fresno State. Utah State's defense has allowed just 7 TD and has 13 INT in conference play and they are dominant in the red zone allowing just 37% conversions.

Now Fresno State will be able to move the ball, but so will Utah State. Utah State has a great running game and it took a while but Darrell Garretson is coming around since taking over for Chuckie Keeton early in the year. Over his last 4 games he's got 7 TD and 2 interceptions. Fresno has allowed a 168 QB rating over their last 4 games and they have allowed 4.44 ypc over that period too. When you can't stop the pass it opens things up for the run and Utah State should be able to take advantage. Fresno State is just mentally drained at this spot they had a big pay day coming for a BCS bowl game of 8 million dollars and now they are 13-37-2 in their last 52 ATS following a SU loss.
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