4.5** MLB POD 5-3 This Year + Profits in all 5 previous seas

[Pick Bot]

Phillies -117 4.5* MLB POD
The Brewers stock is high they continue to win games, 5 in a row to be exact, while the Phillies have lost 3 in a row. Add that in with Cliff Lee struggling in his season opener and we have a recipe for value. Cliff Lee is still a quality starter and getting him at home at this cheap of a price especially when the Brewers have not faired well against LHP this year scoring over 2 runs fewer than they do against RHP. Cliff Lee did have a rough start out in Texas against an AL team, but pitching back in the NL even against the hot hitting Brewers is much easier.

This is an extremely cheap price for a pitcher that has a 2.84 ERA over the last three years which includes a 2.65 ERA at night.
Estrada will make the start vs. the Brewers, but I'm not impressed in his 2 starts vs. the Phillies he has a 2.44 WHIP with a 9.00 ERA and he's an extreme fly ball pitcher and it's expecting to be a windy day in Philadelphia today which will be an advantage the Phillies have over the Brewers. Plus the Phillies are 47-22 in their last 69 games following back to back games of allowing 9+ runs.