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1st play will be a pass (Yes -125) (No -115)
The Giants have played in 19 games while the Patriots have played in 18. The Patriots have had the ball 2nd on 89% of their games this season. The only two times they got the ball first it was the Broncos and the Bills deferring. The majority of teams like to take the ball first when they win the toss in fear of going down 7-0. The Patriots also like to defer and each and every time they have won the toss that's what they have done. While the Giants have won the toss 9 out of their 19 opportunities and have elected to receive 7 or 77% of the time. There is a great chance the Giants will have the ball first in this one. In case you are curious the odds for the Giants to have the ball first are -325. No value there. Giants have passed the ball 9 out of their 19 first drives and Manning has completed 5 of 8 (1 scramble) while averaging 10.2 yards per pass (16, 6, 14, 7, 8) There is a 22% chance the play will go for more than 8 yards.

1st scoring play will be (TD -200) (FG/Safety +150)
Judging on how bad the Patriots defense has been and assuming they get the ball first one has to assume they'll be driving the ball right down the field. If that happens The Giants are 9th in red zone offense from a TD % perspective at 54.41%. The Patriots were in the middle of the pack in TD% allowed in red zone attempts allowing 52.94% over the season. I will have a premium play on this proposition that you can get in my prop package. Continue Reading

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