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John Ryan John Ryan
John Ryan's proven algorithm is currently 17-10 (63%) over his last 27 MLB picks! Dime bettors have made $5,370 since June 19 by following this 22-year veteran.
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 22, 2017
Cardinals vs Cubs
Cardinals
+145 at 5Dimes
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Top Premium

7* graded play on St. Louis as they take on the Chicago Cubs in MLB action set to start at 4:05 PM ET.

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward  opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, St. Louis is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit  say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.

 

We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons.

    So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and advanced analytics. Now, let’s examine the game situations that qualify for the ‘Black Jack’ system.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 83-34 hitting 71% winners and has made 57 units/unit wagered since 1997.

Play against NL home teams.

With a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season.

Following a game where the bullpen was hammered for 6 or more earned runs.

 

Arrieta pitched well, but the bullpen put in a horrific performance. The Cubs bullpen issued 8 walks and 9 earned runs. Carl Edwards entered the game to start the 7th inning and did not record an out issuing 2 walks, and allowing 3 ER. Next, Rondon entered and he too, did not record an out issuing 2 walks and allowing 4 ER. The Cubs had a 3-2 lead in the top of the 7th inning and allowed NINE earned runs.

 

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Cardinals.

 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 22, 2017
Braves vs Dodgers
Dodgers
-230 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

7* graded play on Dodgers as they take on the Braves in MLB action set to start at 9:10 PM ET.

Recommended Wagering Strategy

Given the large amount of wood needed to be paid on the Dodgers, a combination wager is the preferred strategy to offset risk and maintain a strong risk-reward profile. The combination wager is in two parts consisting of a 4.5* play on the Run Line and a 2.5* play on the money line.

An alternative strategy is to use the - 2 ½ run line. This strategy is in three parts with a 4* play on the Run Line, a 2* play on the money line and a 1* play using the -2 ½ Run Line.

 

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Dodgers are a solid 41-20 against the run line (+20.6 Units) facing an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.

Dodgers are 49-12 (+29.9 Units) against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.

Tehran is 9-24 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Dodgers are 37-11 (+20.4 Units) against the money line after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.

 

Player Focus

Admittedly, this is just a single piece of anecdotal evidence that does support the Dodgers, but it may reflect a reason to put Corey Seager on your daily fantasy team today. Seager was hitless in last night’s loss. The Dodgers are 28-7 following a game where Seager had no hits since being called up in September 2015. So, far this season, Seager has had 13 hitless games and the Dodgers are 11-2 in the next game for strong 31% ROI.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Dodgers.

SERVICE BIO

John Ryan has been handicapping baseball, football, and basketball for over 20 years. He has won several National contests and has placed in top-5's in countless others. John's philosophy and goals is based on the long-term, and he has found that over time consistency is what promotes success. The key to utilizing our computer generated algorithms, information and selections are to consistently investing the same amount on each selection. This process will ensure that our bankroll and our clients will maximize their investment return. Moreover, the entire methodology eliminates the human emotion from all selection processes. Our computer systems are based on genetic algorithms and an adaptive-structure Neural Network. In summary, our systems calculate and analyze several hundred thousand pieces of data in combination with one another for each game played. The systems also optimize our combination of rules and utilize "team momentum" much like one would do in the technical analysis of a stock or soybean prices. Much like the commodities markets we have applied a "contrarian view" as one of the rules. For example, if a given trend in any sport is posting a 15-2 ATS, then the model will immediately make note that this trend has matured and that a reversal of this trend is likely. If the computer selects the team that does not support this given trend, the 15-2 trend will actually be supportive of the selection. The relative and key differences in opponents are then presented in the selection write-up. The write-up will state why we have selected a given team and will outline the various statistics and trends supporting that selection. We believe that our information is unique and informative and hopefully as profitable as the previous years have been. The key is giving us an honest try and staying with the methodology. Thank you again for your support and good luck.