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Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Saints vs. Packers
Saints
-4 -110
  at  5DIMES
in 3h

I'm not going to be shy about this , two time MVP QB Aaron Rodgers, was a one man wrecking crew for the Green Bay Packers. When he went down last week vs the Minnesota Vikings with a broken collar bone, I'm sure  the Packer nations hearts were broken and the fragments flushed down the proverbial toilet on a promising season. With that said,  I'm not a fan  of his replacement Brett Hundley, and feel strongly the Packers are now at a big disadvantage despite of playing at home this week vs New Orleans. Green Bay even when Rodgers was healthy never did very well against NFC South opposition going a sub par 9-11 SU . The last time Green Bay played without Rodgers 4 seasons ago they won only 2 of 7 games , and were just 0-4 ATS at home. Note: The  Saints have given up an opponent passer rating of 56.7 during their current three-game winning streak.

Projected score: New Orleans 27 Green Bay 17

Play on the Saints to cover  

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 21, 2017
Blazers vs Bucks
Bucks
-3 -102 at 5Dimes
Tie
Play Type: Premium

The Milwaukee Bucks opened the season with games against Boston and Cleveland, and are pretty acclimated to playing some very tough competition. The Bucks looked pretty ordinary against a Cleveland team that looked to be on a mission last night, losing by a DD, count at home,  but I'm still a big believer in this team. I know their opposition tonight, the Portland Trailblazers have looked explosive so far this season, in their first two games , but this will be the Blazers second consecutive road game in a back to back situation. Yes, I do know that the Bucks are also playing back to back games, but playing them while sleeping at home in your own bed, and playing back to backs , after taking a  red eye flight are two completely different scenarios as far as how rested your team will be. With that said, I expect the Bucks come out in good form tonight and get us the win and cover.

Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Milwaukee and the Bucks have won and covered the most two recent meetings here in Milwaukee.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Blazers - after 2 or more consecutive wins, playing on back-to-back days are just 36-70 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 66% for bettors.

NBA Favorites like Milwaukee - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 28-8 ATS L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Milwaukee to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 21, 2017
Thunder vs Jazz
Thunder
-4½ -108 at 5Dimes
Lost
$108.0
Play Type: Premium

Utah is a fine team that I highly respect, but after playing last night in a physically grueling affair in Minnesota losing by 3 points and covering, I just don't believe they have enough left in the tank to deal with what is now In my humble opinion one of the most explosive offensive teams in the NBA, the Oklahoma City Thunder. Not only are they potent with their attack, they are showing early signs of being equally capable of over powering their  opponents on the defensive end. With that said, I usually rarely lay lumber with a road team these circumstances at this juncture of my wagering campaign warrant such a bet and recommendation to my clients.

Quote: "By playing great defense, especially this early in the season where probably most teams are trying to find their way, it gives you at least a little bit of room where if you don't have a great offensive night or are trying to figure it out offensively, you can really fall back to your defense," Thunder coach Billy Donovan told reporters after the game.

Note: Rodney Hood was carried off the floor by his teammates after suffering an apparent lower-leg injury during the fourth quarter last night vs Minny which puts the Jazz at a distinct disadvantage in this tilt.

UTAH is 7-20 ATS  L/27 off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival and OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-10 ATS   as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points  with the average victory coming by 7.6 ppg.

Ok City has won 7 of the L/8 meetings and 3 of the L/4 here in Utah and enter this game in much better shape roster wise than they have in the past.

NBA Favorites like Oklahoma City - in a game involving two teams who had marginal winning records (51% to 60%) last season are 23-3 ATS over the L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors and also NBA Favorites like Oklahoma City - average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games, vs. division opponents are 27-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 21, 2017
76ers vs Raptors
UNDER 217 -102 Lost
$102.0
Play Type: Premium

The Philadelphia 76ers  off a loss last night will face   the Toronto Raptors this Saturday night.  Now tonight the Sixers are a expected to rest  their young star(Joel Embiid)  and I am betting they will be more conservative in  their approach to this game from  offensive perspective. Their D, failed the young men from Philly last night , after leading Boston for more most of the previous evening and a more concerted effort to be stoppers vs what continues to a free wheeling Toronto group will become of paramount importance in this spot. With that said, and in contrarian fashion,  I'm betting instead of a run and gun shoot out like the linemakers are expecting a more subdued  type of affair will play out and the total combined score will end up on the low side of the Totals spectrum.

 Under is 8-3 in 76ers last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 9-4 in 76ers last 13 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

PHILADELPHIA is 73-49 L/122 when the total is 210 to 219.5.

Toronto is their L/15 games against a lower tier team with a.250 win % or less  have seen a combined average of 206.6 ppg go on the board.

It must also be noted that from a NBA historical data base, that Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 like the like the 76ers - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite , are 23-3 under for  a 88% conversion rate for bettors dating back 21 seasons.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 21, 2017
Suns vs Clippers
UNDER 217 -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

The Suns played a fast back and forth game last night losing to the Lakers 132-130 and are banged  playing mostly without center Alex Len (ankle) ( played last night 21 min), guard Davon Reed (knee) and forward Jared Dudley (toe).  This I expect will effect their tempo and with a need to pay more attention to defense, should partake according to my own estimates in more subdued type of defensive game plan tonight in LA vs a Clippers side that is still trying to acclimate to a lot of new faces and injuries to various players that are still not 100% healed. The roster was completely intact for the season-opening victory vs the Lakers, but Patrick Beverley (knee) and Austin Rivers (glute) had just returned and Danilo Gallinari (sprained left foot), Sam Dekker (strained left oblique), Sindarius Thornwell (sprained right shoulder) and Jamil Wilson (back spasms) returned earlier last week.

Overall team cohesiveness on both sides could easily be an issue this evening, and according to my own numbers the lines-makers have over done this Total to the high side considering the circumstances. It must also be noted that from a NBA historical data base, that Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 like the Suns - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite , are 23-3 under for  a 88% conversion rate for bettors dating back 21 seasons.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 21, 2017
76ers vs Raptors
76ers
+9½ -108 at 5Dimes
Lost
$108.0
Play Type: Premium

The Philadelphia 76ers  off a loss last night will face   the Toronto Raptors this Saturday night.The 76ers,  lost 3 of 4 to the Raptors last season, and have lost  15 of their past 16 games against Toronto, including nine in a row at Air Canada Centre. That and the fact that their over hyped young star is out tonight and expected to rest (Joel Embiid) ,has pushed this line to it's outer limits.  With that said, and in contrarian fashion,  I'm betting we have value taking a talented Sixers group  , who despite of playing last night,   will not be all that tired because of their young legs , and a Raptors side that is no longer as deep as they once were.  With that said, I'm recommending we take the points here with a Philly side that is 7-2 ATS L/9 with no rest vs a Raptors side, that has failed to 6 of their 8 at home.

PHILADELPHIA is 31-18 ATS  L/49 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points and have covered 19 of their 28 after a loss of 10 points or less which happened last night in a loss 102-92 loss to the Celtics.

76ers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 vs. NBA Atlantic.76ers are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on the Phuladelphia 76ers to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Oct 21, 2017
Hurricanes vs Stars
Stars
-135 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Dallas started their season slowly going 0-2-0 start as their new  new personnel looked they needed time to  jell with their teammates. But now the positive chemistry is building behind the likes of the Stars  new top line, which features Benn, Seguin and newcomer Alexander Radulov. Talk about explosive looking. This trio is dangerous and will be hard to stop by a Carolina team , that despite of operating a top tier level of hockey at the moment,  will be on tired legs as they play their 4th straight road game.

Dallas expected starting  goaltender Ben Bishop,  ranks seventh in the NHL with a 1.93 goals-against-average and is tied for third with four  wins.

CAROLINA is 4-18 ATS  L/22  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record .CAROLINA is 8-21 ATS  L/28 off a road win which they registered last time out.

Hurricanes are 17-35 in their last 52 road games.Stars are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. Metropolitan.Hurricanes are 1-11-1 in the last 13 meetings in Dallas.Hurricanes are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the Dallas Stars to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
CFL  |  Oct 21, 2017
Winnipeg vs Toronto
Winnipeg
+1½ -110 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Winnipeg is a contender for this seasons Grey Cup according to my power rankings, an are in a uptrend at the moment winning 8 of their L/10. and despite of Toronto from time to time pulling off some quality performances, are needless to say not a real threat .

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers have had good success on the road this season winning four of their last five away tilts behind QB Matt Nichols who is completing 71.1 percent of his passes for 4,174 yards, 27 touchdowns and eight interceptions and I'm betting he really lights it up against a team the Bombers matchup well against. It must be noted that the Bombers have won 3 straight in this series, including the lone meeting back in July.
 

TORONTO is 0-7 ATS  against teams who commit 1.25 or less turnovers/game on the season and is 2-12 ATS  L/14 versus good offensive teams - scoring 29 or more points/game.WINNIPEG is 12-4 ATS  L/16 versus poor rushing teams - averaging 90  or less rushing yards/game.WINNIPEG is 9-2 ATS  L/11 versus awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse this season.WINNIPEG is 9-0 ATS L/9 off a home win , which happened last time out.WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS   in road games after being outgained by opp by 70 or more total yards last game and  is 7-0 ATS L/7  in road games in non-conference games.TORONTO is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in home games in October games and  is 4-14 ATS  L/18  in non-conference games.

CFL team vs the money line like Winnipeg - after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 48-16 over the L/5 seasons and so far a perfect 8-0 this season!

CFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Toronto - off a non-conference game are 12-45 ATS in their follow up game over the L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 79% for bettors.

Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 21, 2017
Arizona State vs Utah
Arizona State
+10 -110 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Arizona St is off a big win vs Washington last time out, and have been competitive all season long, and have not lost by more than 10 points this season. I know The Sun Devils might be in a letdown mode, and that Utah has owned this series of late, but they are off two grueling physical  losses in their L/2 games against Stanford and USC and should show those effects here today, and also be in a letdown state. With that said I'm taking the points here.

Utah HC Whittingham is 12-27 ATS  L/39 as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points.

 CFB team like Arizona State  - off a upset win as a double digit underdog, with 4+ more total starters returning than opponent are 23-4 ATS L/27 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Arizona State to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 21, 2017
Central Florida vs Navy
Navy
+7½ -110 at Bovada
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium
This is a big time ACC battle , featuring Navy hosting undefeated UCF.

The Knights have bashed opponents with reckless abandon this season. Personally I feel their using up to much precious energy, and not pacing themselves, which will be a problem as this season progresses and here today, against a punishing team. With that said, I expect a very feisty Navy squad that leads the FBS in time of possession to pound away at UCF relentlessly today, with ground attack and keep themselves in a position to pull of the SU upset. Last week Navy;s Zach Abey usually sure handed turnover problems ended the Middies undefeated season vs Memphis ( 6 TOs) , but this week I'm betting things return to the norm, and he remains responsible.

NAVY is 6-0 ATS L/6 vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game.NAVY is 10-2 ATS L/12 when the total is greater than or equal to 63

Navy's is 17-4 SU and 3-1 ATS as dog in conference play since joining the AAC , and I'm betting they add to those positive numbers here today. Navy HC Niamatalolo is 6-2 SU off a loss and a perfect 8-0 ATS.

Play on Navy to cover 1 unit reg selection
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 21, 2017
Oregon vs UCLA
Oregon
+7 -130 at 5Dimes
Lost
$130.0
Play Type: Premium

Oregon has been getting beaten up on of late, losing two straight lopsided events ,  but I expect they will be in this game vs their hosts UCLA , as a more reliable QB Taylor Alle will be back under center after backup Braxton Burmeister proved he can't handle the role .  Also the return of WR Royce Freeman will also aid the Ducks here in their ability to cover. Note: Taggart is 5-0 ATS L/5 after back to back ATS losses.

Jim Mora's UCLA is a defensive and TO deficient train wreck this season. Ranking 126th in TO margin while allowing 40 ppg on average . Considering Oregon has a recent history of gauging the Bruins D in the past averaging 48.3 ppg in this series, it will be an easy decision for me to take the Ducks in this spot.UCLA is 0-7 ATS  L/7 as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points.

CFB road team like the Ducks  - off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 63-26 ATS over the L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for betting backers.

Play on Oregon to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 21, 2017
UAB vs Charlotte
Charlotte
+7½ -110 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Charlotte is a  lower tier  team, no mistake about it, but UAB is as inconsistent as they come, and despite of back to back underdog wins, in no shape or form should be TD+ road favs here as they have failed in this role 12 of the L/17 times. UAB is 7-19 ATS L/26  in road games off a win against a conference rival. (They beat over rated Middle Tenn St last week 25-23)

It must also be noted that CFB teams off back to back upset victories are not a good bet when going against below .500 opposition going just 14-30 ATS L/44 times dating back 27 seasons. Also CFB  home team vs. the money line like Charlotte- off a road blowout loss by 28 points or more, with 5+ more defensive starters returning than opponent are 27-6 for a over powering 82% conversion rate over the L/10 seasons. ( Charlotte lost last week to W.Kentucky 45-14)

In Charlottes lone home game against a viable FBS side they lost 14-3 to up trending Marshall) It was a good effort that can be replicated today against a side in a letdown/trap spot.

Play on Charlotte to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 21, 2017
Arizona vs California
California
+3 -107 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Both these football programs  have been playing good ball of late, as Arizona is off back to back upsets of Colorado and defensively deficient UCLA, while California is off a 37-3 beat down of formerly undefeated Washington State. It's been California's D, that has them turned around this season, and Arizona's explosive offense that made them so dangerous. So in a game I have tabbed for D vs Offense, I'm betting on the D coming out on top and helping us get the  cover.  It must also be noted that California is 13-1 ATS L/14 in this series as dogs, and once again look like loveable pups in this spot at home in Berkeley.

ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS  L/6 in road games off 2 or more consecutive overs and 0-7 ATS  L/7  in road games after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored. Arizona's HC Rodriguez is 2-16 ATS  L/18 after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games and is 1-8 L/9 ATS   after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread.

California opened as the favorite here before the line was pushed back the other way favoring Arizona. The guys who work the other side of the counters in Vegas have some sharp minds, and despite of some early smart money coming in on Arizona I'm siding with the boys who make a living helping build Vegas in this spot.  The line ORIGINALLY OPENED  this way most probably because of some interesting long term trends that show , a CFB home team vs. the money line like California  - off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog, in October games are 43-14 in the follow up for a 75% conversion rate for SU bettors and also that a home team vs. the money line like the Bears- off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog, in weeks 5 through 9 are 46-14 for a 77% conversion rate for bettors dating back 25 seasons.

Play on the California Golden Bears to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 21, 2017
Fresno State vs San Diego State
Fresno State
+7½ -108 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

A lot of pundits believe that San Diego State will easily bounce back from last weeks surprising loss to Boise State ( 31-14) as their perfect season crashed and burned. But , hold your horses, I'm betting getting out of here vs a fast improving Fresno State football program will not come easily. Former California HC Tedford has really got the Bulldogs rocking winning 4 of 6 games with the losses coming to highly rated Alabama and Washington. Considering Fresno State has a top tier history of doing well with conference revenge failing to cover only once in their L/11 tries, it won't be a hard decision to back them here on the road in a key game getting  TD plus. ( Last year SDSt beat Fresno State 17-3).

SAN DIEGO ST is 11-24 ATS L/35 in home games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season .FRESNO ST is 9-0 ATS L/9 after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers .FRESNO ST is 12-4 ATS L/16 in all lined games.

Play on Fresno State to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 21, 2017
Wyoming vs Boise State
Wyoming
+14 -107 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Wyoming after losing 2 of their first three games  to begin their season have won three straight games SU/ATS, and are finally starting to perform up to expectations behind stud QB, Joh Allen who is still not in top form , but  ready to explode at any time. However, Wyoming is ranked tied for first in Red Zone offense,  and should do much better than San Diego State did last week vs Boise State . The Broncos surprised a lot of pundits last week, by beating SD State, but the truth is the Aztecs are starting to become easier to read as the season has gone on, as they just continually hand the ball to Rashad Penney . With that said, and now in a letdown scenario after their upset win, I'm betting the Broncos will have a hard time getting up for this tilt despite of being in revenge mode for a 30-28 loss at Larime last season.  

WYOMING is 8-1 ATS  L/9 vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last few seasons.BOISE ST is 0-8 ATS  L/8 as a home favorite and is 0-8 ATS  L/8 in home games after playing a conference game .

CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points like Wyoming  - after having won 4 out of their last 5 games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record are 28-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Wyoming to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 21, 2017
Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan
+3 -110 at Bovada
Tie
Play Type: Premium

E.Michigan has lost 4 straight games, but make no mistake about it, their a much better team  than  that and have been very competitive in those losses losing by an average of 4.25 ppg , losing by 7, 4.5.1 points respectively with 3 of those coming on the road. In the 7 point loss to Ohio at home , they had chances to win that game, against what is turning out to be one of the top teams in the MAC this season. Its the E.Michigan D, that been impressive, as was the case against an explosive SEC team in Kentucky on the road( 24-20 L). So slowing down a Western Michigans offense should not be a problem, as well as  doing enough damage offensively to get us a cover. Remember this  Broncos team is  not a PJ Fleck coached side, and no longer deserves the respect they have over the last few seasons as was the case last week in a ugly 14-13 loss to Akron.

E MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS L/7 after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers.E MICHIGAN is 15-4 ATS L/19 in all lined games and is 11-2 ATS as an underdog.
E MICHIGAN is 9-0 ATS L/9 when playing against a team with a winning record over the last couple of  seasons.


Play on E.Michigan to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 21, 2017
Kentucky vs Mississippi State
Kentucky
+11½ -110 at 5Dimes
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

Everyone seems to love Miss State here, and on paper maybe their right. But some other personal observations have come to light for me after watching more and more the Rebels QB Nick Fitzgerald of late. What I have noticed is that he's being allowed to let loose, in dangerous situations, as was the case last week when he threw to unnecessary interceptions in the red zone. This kid seems not to concerned with risk management, and does not measure up some passing situations well leaving his side vulnerable for pick 6s. This kid just does not get it, despite of being ultra talented. Instead I like Kentucky's mobile QB Stephen Johnson behind a explosive offense to be the better of the two today and to keep his Wildcats team in this game and get us the cover.


CFB Road underdogs like Kentucky- after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread, a top-level team ( 80% or better) playing a team with a winning record are 32-8 ATS over the L/10 seasons, for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Kentucky to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 21, 2017
Wake Forest vs Georgia Tech
Wake Forest
+7 -130 at 5Dimes
Lost
$130.0
Play Type: Premium

The Rambling Wreck are more one dimensional team then ever, and are not only a run team, but a run only team as they rank 128 th in the nation in pass efficiency.  Their fairly easy to read for good Ds, which Wake owns. With Clemson on board next week, for GTech I'm betting their concentration will also be off, which is not a good omen against a very good Wake Forest team, that are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 road games. Also WAKE FOREST is 28-8 ATS  L/36 vs. poor passing teams averaging 150 or less passing yards/game. I'm betting on a well rested Wake Forest team off a bye to have the edge today vs a GTECH side off a emotional loss a Miami Fl, last week.

WAKE FOREST is 9-1 ATS L/10 as an underdog and  16-4 ATS L/20  in road games after a bye week.

CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like GTech - off an extremely close road loss by 3 points or less, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record are 6-26 ATS L/32 dating back 25 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 81% for bettors.

Play on Wake Forest to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 21, 2017
Michigan vs Penn State
Michigan
+9½ -110 at 5Dimes
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

Michigan enters this game ranked No.1 in the nation in defense, and are giving up just 14.7 ppg. Granted they have a horrendous time moving the ball downfield, but if they get can Karan Higdon, going downhill today I'm betting we have an extroidnary chance at covering . Last week he had 200 plus yards and looks like he is shifting into top gear just when Harbaugh and company will need it most. I know Penn State looks like the team to beat in the Big 10, but despite of Michigan inconsistencies this season, must be respected as HC Harbaugh is 7-1 in his career vs undefeated opposition with the only loss coming by 4 points. Penn State has a bye week , but being well rested may become a secondary concern, as the offense may find themselves rusty against a nasty D, that will be out to hand out some big time pain this week.

PENN ST is 2-14 ATS  L/16 vs. good passing defenses - allowing 150 or less passing yards/game with a negative margin of 6.1 ppg. PENN ST is 6-25 ATS  L/31 versus excellent defensive teams - allowing 4.25 or less yards/play.

Penn State HC Franklin is just 9-19-1 ATS vs .750 or better foes like Michigan.

Penn State is 1-13 as a favorite when undefeated following a DD win vs a ,750 or better winning record like Michigan.

Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Mich - with an excellent rushing D - allowing 100 or less rushing yards/game, after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game are 72-35 ATS L/25 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Michigan to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 21, 2017
Tulsa vs Connecticut
Connecticut
+6 -110 at GTBets
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Tulsa is off a huge surprise 45-17 win vs Houston last week, and will now be in a letdown scenario here this week vs a UConn team that is off a upset win vs Temple last week. The difference is that UConn had a good chance to win their previous game  from the outset , while the Canes behind their 129th ranked D, were not. Now this extremely inconsistent Tulsa team is being asked to lay essentially a TD on the road, something I'm having a hard time swallowing. Especially considering how pathetic the Tulsa D has been this season.

TULSA is 8-21 ATS  L/29 versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 6.25 or more yards/play.CONNECTICUT is 12-3 ATS L/15  in home games off an upset win as an underdog.

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like UConn - off 1 or more consecutive unders, with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 35 or more points/game are 69-36 ATS over the L/10 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UConn Huskies to cover 1 unit reg selection

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 18 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 17 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.