ASA |
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BIG 2023! ASA runs thru July 16th: All Sports 42 games over .500 and UP $14,560 in 2023! NBA Tops long-term +$55,600 (+100 games)! NHL long-term +$38,240 (+44 games)! CFB 72-49 (+$18,180). MLB Sides 43-27 in 2023. |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NHL | Apr 16, 2024 Hurricanes vs Blue Jackets |
OVER 6 +100 |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
#7/8 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals - Carolina Hurricanes at Columbus Blue Jackets, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - The Hurricanes no longer have to worry about winning the division as the Rangers wrapped that up last night. That is part of the reason Spencer Martin is getting the start in goal tonight and he is sure to be rusty. Even though Martin has had decent numbers since coming to the Hurricanes this season, he has not played since the final day of February! Yes, it is more than a month and a half for Martin. No matter how much one practices and prepares as a goalie, there is still nothing like live game action and Martin could struggle a bit in this one given the rust aspect. Speaking of struggling, Blue Jackets goalie Jet Greaves is 2-6 with a 3.55 GAA this season! He also has allowed 4 or more goals in 3 straight starts! Columbus has been eliminated for quite some time from the post-season and their record is not impressive to say the least. Part of the problem is they allow far too many goals as they are not strong defensively or in goal. We capitalize on that here as Carolina will be looking for one final tune-up before the post-season. The key here though is that the Blue Jackets are likely to give a strong effort in their home ice finale. Generally speaking they do play better on home ice and they will want to go out with a bang to wrap up their season. With nothing to lose there should be quite an emphasis on the offensive zone in this one and plenty of attacking. We do not expect a tight, defensive-minded checking style of game here as this one just does not offer that incentive for either club. The Jackets have allowed 4 goals per game on average over their last 14 games. They have scored 3.5 goals per game in the last 6 games on their home ice The Hurricanes have won 5 straight games and 7 of last 8. Carolina scored an average of 3.5 goals in those 8 games. In a rather loosely played affair, there will be plenty of scoring opportunities and both these goalies are unlikely to be sharp for the reasons we noted above. Look for at least 7 goals in this one! Over is the play here. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 16, 2024 Braves vs Astros |
Braves -113 at SC Consensus |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
#975 ASA PLAY ON Atlanta Braves -115 / -120 over Houston Astros, Tuesday at 8:10 PM ET - These two teams, in recent years, have annually been two of the top teams in the majors. That said, it makes sense that the Astros are getting some respect on their home field in this match-up. But the fact remains that Houston is off to a very rough start this season and not really showing any signs of turning things around yet. That being said, there is a lot of value here with the Braves at a fair price and with a huge starting pitching edge. Hunter Brown gets the start for the Astros and he is off a horrendous start versus Kansas City. Sometimes a pitcher will have a tough start and it is a "one off" situation. However, Brown has now been rocked in back to back starts plus this is a guy that was 11-13 with a 5.09 ERA last season. Reynaldo Lopez, on the other hand, has been solid in both his starts this season and has allowed just 7 hits in 12 innings! As for Brown, he has allowed 14 earned RUNS (not hits) in less than 8 innings on the mound this season! You can see why we like the Braves at a reasonable price on the road even though the Astros have been one of the best teams in baseball in 6 of the last 7 seasons. The covid season was the lone outlier. As for this season however, Houston is 6-12 this season and has lost 5 of 7. Though the 2 wins in this recent 2-5 stretch were solid, the 4 most recent losses were by a combined score of 42 to 14 and we like the Braves to roll here. Atlanta has won 7 of 10 games and is already 6-3 on the road this season as well. Braves off the 6-1 win here in Houston last night and do it again here. Lay it! |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Apr 16, 2024 Warriors vs Kings |
Warriors -2 -110 at SC Consensus |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
ASA top play on 10* Golden State Warriors -2 vs Sacramento Kings, 10 PM ET - If this game is like the last three in this rivalry it’s going to be close, but we like the veteran Warriors to pull out a win on the Kings court. The last three meetings have been decided by 1-point each with the Kings winning the last two games. Sacramento had their full complement of players for both of those W’s with Kevin Huerter and Malik Monk who are out here. The Warriors come into this game having won 10 of their last twelve games and have the 4th best Net rating (+9.1) in the NBA over that 12-game stretch. The Kings on the other hand have the 13th best Net rating at +3.8 and are 5-7 SU. Golden State is 25-16 SU on the road this season with the 4th best average point differential at +4.5PPG. The Kings are 24-17 SU at home with the 17th rated average point differential at +2.2PPG. With their shortened rotation the Kings have to rely heavily on Domantas Sabonis who has struggled when facing the Warriors and Draymond Green in the past. Golden State is peaking at the right time and we expect them to move on tonight. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Apr 16, 2024 Lakers vs Pelicans |
Pelicans -115 at linepros |
Lost $115.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
ASA top play on 10* New Orleans Pelicans Pick -115 vs. LA Lakers, Tuesday 7:30 PM ET - This is an interesting number to say the least. As of this writing, the status of Anthony Davis is in question for the Lakers. We expect AD to play and this line to adjust to the Lakers as the favorite. When that happens, we will be on the Pelicans plus the points and will even venture a small wager as them as a low favorite. These teams just met the other day, and the Pelicans were favored by 3-points. Los Angeles smacked the Pelicans 124-108 behind some great shooting at 55%, well above their season average of 49.9%. New Orleans had a fantastic game from beyond the Arc (15/37 or 41%) and we don’t expect that to change here. The Pelicans have the 4th best 3PT% in the NBA at 38.3% and the Lakers ranked 25th in defending the 3PT line, allowing opponents to hit 37.5% from deep. The Pelicans have the 6th best Net rating in the NBA this season at +4.6, the Lakers are 18th at +0.5. Since the All-Star break the Pels have a +4.8 Net rating differential, the Lakers are +2.2. Contrary to what you might read or hear, the Pelicans are the better team in this matchup. New Orleans ranks 11th in offensive efficiency ratings this season, the Lakers are 15th. When it comes to defense, the Pels rank 7th in DEFF, the Lakers rank 17th. We like the Pelicans to get this home win Tuesday night. |
PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 17, 2024 Yankees vs Blue Jays |
Yankees -104 at BetVegas |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
#919 ASA PLAY ON New York Yankees -105 over Toronto Blue Jays, Wednesday at 3:07 PM ET - Line value here because the Yankees have lost 3 straight and the Blue Jays have won 4 straight. That is keeping this line in the pick'em range when normally the Yankees would be a big favorite here considering the pitching edge for this one. Marcus Stroman has been pitching well for New York and was victimized by clutch hitting in his most recent start. That led to 4 earned runs on only 4 hits as Stroman was again tough to hit despite the end result. Stroman has held opponents to a .180 batting average in his 3 starts this season and he has struck out 17 in 17 innings. His numbers are in stark contrast to the struggling Kevin Gausman. Note that Gausman is 0-2 with an 11.57 ERA this season and he has been hit at a .372 batting average. This is not a fluke as Gausman has not looked right at all. He had a shoulder injury during spring training so he only pitched in one game in spring training and he is rusty early this season. This will be Gausman's 4th outing and he has been rocked in each of the last two so he continues to be in "fade" territory right now. Neither team has hit particularly well this season but the Yankees bullpen has a 2.50 ERA compared to the Blue Jays having a 5.18 ERA so the pitching edge - both starting and bullpen - is strongly in favor of New York here. Road team rolls in this one! |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 17, 2024 Braves vs Astros |
Braves -134 at circa |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
#925 ASA PLAY ON Atlanta Braves -140 over Houston Astros, Wednesday at 2:10 PM ET - As we mentioned yesterday, these two teams, in recent years, have annually been two of the top teams in the majors. But the fact remains that Houston is off to a very rough start this season and not really showing any signs of turning things around yet. That being said, there is a lot of value here with the Braves even at a moderate price on the road as they have a huge starting pitching edge. Max Fried had an unusually rough pair of the outings but this guy long-term has been great and he bounced back in this last start and forced a lot of ground balls plus got strikeouts and Fried absolutely looks back on track. For JP France, there is nothing of the sort. France is consistently regressing in each start and now will be making his 4th start of the year. He has an 8.22 ERA so far. You can see why we like the Braves at a moderate price on the road even though the Astros have been one of the best teams in baseball in 6 of the last 7 seasons. The covid season was the lone outlier. As for this season however, Houston is 6-13 and has lost 6 of 8. Though the 2 wins in this recent 2-6 stretch were solid, the 5 most recent losses were by a combined score of 48 to 16 and we like the Braves to roll here. Atlanta has won 8 of 11 games and is already 7-3 on the road this season as well. Braves off the 6-1 win Monday and another 6-2 win here in Houston last night and do it again here. Lay it! |
SERVICE BIO |
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The owners of American Sports Analysts (ASAwins), Lee Kostroski & Mike Merlet, have a combined 50+ years in the sports betting industry. Both started with Doc’s Enterprises, Lee in the late 80’s and Mike in the early 90’s. After learning the handicapping trade from one of the oldest in the business, they started ASA Inc in 1997 and have been going strong ever since. They have been known throughout the industry for their success on BIG GAMES including their 10* Midwest Game of the Year. ASA is located in Madison, WI and a foundation of their handicapping prowess revolves around the heart of the country – especially the Big Ten. ASAwins has appeared on numerous radio shows throughout the country as special expert football guests including Tampa, New Orleans, Madison, Milwaukee, Memphis, Las Vegas, and Denver just to name a few. They were also featured on the ESPN website with gaming writer Chad Millman during the 2011 season. ASAwins handicapping methods have evolved through years of with hard work and research being the anchor of their success. Rather than implementing one specific strategy as many handicappers do, they intertwine many different philosophies when it comes to making football, basketball, hockey, and baseball selections. They utilize their massive database that goes back over 30 years and can give them in depth information on any situation you can think of when it comes to handicapping. That’s not where they stop, however. They also research stats and film each week to evaluate the upcoming match ups on the field along with speaking with their personal contacts throughout the country (especially in the Midwest). On top of that, they analyze each point spread (and their movements) comparing them with their own power ratings to find where an edge might be found. Lastly, their predictive analytics or math models predict the outcomes of games based solely on numbers and statistics that aren’t swayed by the human element. So, as you can see, just because a game may fall into a successful system or the scheduling looks good to go against or with a certain team, that doesn’t mean that ASA automatically uses it as a selection. It must go through their in-depth process with all things considered before they give it the ASA stamp of approval. Looking at games from all these angles gives ASA the best of all worlds when it comes to handicapping. Their handicapping theories have proven successful over the years which has them as one of the more tenured experts in the industry. Lee & Mike at ASAwins have stood the test of time in an industry that makes it very tough to do so. Their 50+ years of experience will give you the WINNING EDGE you need. Sports wagering is an investment and it’s time you invest in the known commodity of ASAwins! |