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NCAA-F  |  Nov 25, 2017
Boise State vs. Fresno State
Fresno State
+7½ -125
  at  GTBETS
in 2d

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #202 Take Fresno State Bulldogs over Boise State Broncos (Saturday 3:30 pm CBSSN) It is hard to gauge the motivation for both teams since this will be the first of two meetings in consecutive weeks between Boise State and Fresno State. Fresno State has been the surprise team in the conference this year as nobody expect them to be bowl eligible let along beat San Diego State to win the West Division. We will gladly grab the points in this match-up as I believe this game just means more to Fresno State. Boise State will not be making a New Year’s Six Bowl, as that spot will go to the American Athletic Conference winner and thus the best they can hope for is a trip to the Las Vegas Bowl. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Football card featuring top plays on both Saturday and Sunday. Jump on board our Thanksgiving Football card now! 

NFL  |  Nov 23, 2017
Giants vs. Redskins
44½ -115
  at  BMAKER
in 10h

Play - Giants-Redskins UNDER (Game 112). 

Edges - Giants: 4-7 UNDER on Thursdays… Redskins: 6-14 UNDER last twenty games in this series… With the point-starved Giants having scored 21 or fewer points in each of their last four games, we recommend a 1* play on the UNDER in this game. Thank you and good luck as always.

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NFL  |  Nov 23, 2017
Chargers vs. Cowboys
48 -110
  at  BOVADA
in 6h

Free pick on Cowboys/Chargers UNDER

I think we are getting some great value here with the total in Thursday's Thanksgiving matchup between the Cowboys and Chargers. I feel like this total has been inflated quite a bit with the Chargers off a 54-point outburst against the Bills, which saw a combined 78 points scored. While Dallas only scored 9, their game with the Eagles had 46 points and that's now two straight in which the Cowboys have gave up at least 27 points. 

I just don't see these two playing a high-scoring game. A big reason why Dallas' offense has struggled the last two weeks is they have faced two of the best offenses in the NFL in the Falcons and Eagles. San Diego is no where close to the level of those two teams and prior to their outburst against the Bills they had scored just 17, 21, 13 and 17 over their previous 4 games. 

As for the Cowboys, the offense is going to continue to struggle without Ezekiel Elliot, but they should be getting back All-Pro left tackle Tyron Smith. That should allow them to have more success on the ground and play more of a ball control offense. It also helps the Chargers are dead last against the run, giving up 138.9 yards/game on the ground. 

I could easily see both teams struggling to score 20 points in this one, and feel like we are getting more than a touchdown in value here given the matchup. UNDER is 6-1 in the Chargers last 7 off a SU win by more than 10 points and 20-8-1 in their last 29 after scoring more than 30 in their previous game. UNDER is also 6-2 in the Cowboys last 8 after allowing more than 30 points and 8-2 in their last 10 off a double-digit loss at home. Take the UNDER! 

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NFL  |  Nov 26, 2017
Broncos vs. Raiders
-4½ -113
  at  BMAKER
in 3d

1* Free Play Oakland Raiders.

Oakland is 4-6, while Denver is 3-7. Clearly both teams can’t be happy with where they’re sitting at the moment, as each had pretty big expectations coming into the 2017/18 campaign. This is an important two game stretch for the Raiders though, who could be back to .500 if they manage a victory here and then again next week at home against the hapless Giants. That would then have them at .500 on their way for a road game against suddenly struggling Kansas City. Another loss for Denver though will be the final nail in its coffin. The Broncos question marks in all three phases. The Raiders have issues as well, but they at least have solidity in the most important areas. We’re expecting a convincing victory. Consider the RAIDERS in this matchup.

AAA Sports

NCAA-F  |  Nov 24, 2017
Navy vs. Houston
+4½ -110
  at  GTBETS
in 1d

Navy +4.5 1.1% Free Play 

I think we have good value here on Navy running the triple option.  Houston gave up 300+ yards to this Navy option last year and their run defense has been worse this year.  They are giving up 1 yard per carry more against the run, and there offense is also worse than last year scoring a TD less.

This game is also pretty meaningless for Houston who is already in a bowl game.  The game doesn't mean much for Navy, but they are the road team and will be more focused.  Navy also plays hard every game, and recruits in Texas a lot so the game in fact is more meaningful for them.  I think Navy can really dominate the time of possession as they are #1 in the country at over 36 minutes while Houston ranks 95th.  Navy's defensive weakness is against the pass, and that's not something Houston is doing well this year so I think they can actually pull the upset here.  They don't have a look ahead either with the Army game still a few weeks away.

NCAA-B  |  Nov 23, 2017
Harvard vs. St. Mary's
St. Mary's
-12 -110
in 5h

Pure Lock's FREE CBB play Thursday 11-23-17

St Mary's -12

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NFL  |  Nov 23, 2017
Vikings vs. Lions
45 -105
  at  BOVADA
in 2h

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Vikings/Lions UNDER 45

I believe there's value on the UNDER 45 in this division rivalry between the Minnesota Vikings and Detroit Lions today.  This will be the second meeting between the teams this season, and they are obviously very familiar with one another.  That familiarity favors defense.  It will also be played at a high intensity level with both teams fighting for playoff position and division supremacy.

But the main reason there's value with the UNDER is the fact that this head-to-head series has been so low-scoring over the past several seasons.  Indeed, the UNDER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings.  The Lions and Vikings have combined for 42 or fewer points in seven of those eight meetings.  They have averaged just 31.2 combined points in those eight meetings, which is roughly 14 points less than this 45-point total.  That's the kind of value we are getting with the UNDER here.

Plays on the UNDER on any team against the total (MINNESOTA) - revenging a close loss by 7 points or less to opponent, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 22-4 (84.6%) over the last five seasons.

Minnesota is 6-0 UNDER vs. good offensive teams scoring 27 or more points per game over the past three seasons.  The Vikings are 8-1 UNDER when playing against a good team with a winning percentage from 60% to 7% over the last three seasons.  The UNDER is 8-1 in Vikings last nine road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The UNDER is 20-7 in Vikings last 27 vs. a team with a winning record overall.  Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

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NFL  |  Nov 23, 2017
Giants vs. Redskins
+7½ -115
  at  BOVADA
in 10h

The Giants defense played great last week and this is a big divisional game on Thursday night.

Last week the NY Giants played without  Eli Apple at CB. They get him back this week against the Skins, who are coming off a colossal collapse in the Superdome and probably still wondering what the hell happened. This is a situation where a team allows one loss to become two. Take the points with the NY Giants.