Free Pick on Seattle Mariners -

Seattle took the first game of the series 5-2 on Monday and I look for them to keep it going with another easy victory tonight. The Mariners are without a doubt the better team here and getting them as a small home favorite is an absolute gift.

New York's Jacob deGrom has pitched well of late, but he's not been near as effective on the road, where he has a 4.72 ERA and 1.486 WHIP over 6 starts. As for Mariners' starter Erasmo Ramirez, he comes in with a strong 3.54 ERA at home and a red-hot 1.17 ERA over his last 3 starts.

The Mets are just 4-10 in their last 14 interleague games against a team with a winning record, 6-20 in their last 26 during game 2 of a series, 1-6 in their last 7 as a road underdog and 2-6 in deGrom's last 8 starts versus a team with a winning record.

Seattle is 9-3 in their 12 games against a starter with a WHIP worse than 1.30, 11-4 in their last 15 after scoring 5+ runs and 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games against a team with a losing record. Take the Mariners!

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The pitching matchup and situation are ripe for a Mets victory. New York is the envy of many teams with its bevy of promising young pitchers. Jacob deGrom can take his place with any of them. He is the real deal. The right-hander has allowed six earned runs in his last five starts spanning 32 2/3 innings. deGrom has 38 strikeouts during this span.

Only Houston has a lower batting average versus right-handers in the American League than Seattle. The Mariners have dropped nine of their last 12 interleague home games when facing a righty. 

The Mariners want to give Felix Hernandez and Hisahi Iwakuma an extra day of rest so they have brought Erasmo Ramirez back into the rotation to start this game. Ramirez was sent down to the minors on June 25 after going 0-4 with a 4.89 ERA in his last 10 starts. Ramirez has been at his worst in interleague competition going 0-2 with a 7.77 ERA in five career starts versus NL foes. Seattle is 4-12 in Ramirez's last 16 starts.

The Mets hit 21 points higher when they play at AL parks. New York is 13-6 in its last 19 interleague away contests.

There are certain flats spots in a season and this sure looks like one for Seattle. The Mariners came out of All-Star break playing the Angels in an important division series. Each game was decided by one run. One game was decided in the ninth inning. The other games went 12 and 16 innings.

The Mariners just defeated the Mets last night. So in the last four days, the Mariners have played 46 innings with their bullpen logging 26 1/3 innings during this span. 

(Editor's note: Long-time Vegas pro Stephen Nover has his signature and most rare play, his 100-Dimer, going today in addition to this free selection. Stephen has cashed better than 70 percent lifetime on his 100-Dimers and is 2-0 this baseball season on his 100-Dime plays.)