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Friday Night's NCAAF POD - Total Play **29-14 ATS Career CFB

PostPosted: Fri Dec 05, 2014 10:03 pm
by Pick Bot

Don't miss out on Friday's play of the day which goes in the Pac 12 Championship! I am releasing a total play which I don't normally do, but in college football I am 29-14 ATS on college football totals over my 5 year career! This play is guaranteed or Saturday's full card is FREE!

Oregon/Arizona U74.5 4.4* NCAAF POD
This total makes a lot of sense when you see the first game got to 50+ points with Oregon playing with 4 new offensive linemen. I would have leaned towards Oregon to cover the spread, but I did not get it at -13.5 in time. I actually like the total play, because I think Oregon's defense is going to shut this Arizona offense out. This is an offense that's not as good as it was in previous years while the Oregon defense has been improving. Arizona is not running the ball as well as it did last year and we get a high total based on what?

Arizona has scored 42 points the last 2 weeks, but in one game they needed 4 turnovers, and the other they only had 333 yards, but relied on big plays. I don't see either happening on Friday night. This game is also on the grass which should slow the game down a bit if Arizona does not already play their part in doing so with their run first mentality. Oregon's offense has struggled against this 3-3-5 defense that Arizona plays and I think it will at times again. I don't see them getting to 50 points while I could easily see them in the 40's. I see a max score of 45-28 or 42-31, but more than likely this Oregon defense is going to hold Arizona under 30 points which should get us the under in this one. This was a game that was 7-3 at the half during the regular season and both defenses held their opposing offense under 500 total yards.