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Matt Fargo Matt Fargo
Matt is 105-88 L44 Days! He is 14-9 in the NFL since Week Nine and is on a 23-12 NFL Run L35 releases! Going back, he is on a 666-570 +$34,683 NFL run since 2012! College Football is 37-26 since October! 211-176 CBB
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 29, 2021
Pelicans vs Clippers
Clippers
-6½ -110 at Mirage
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Free

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our Monday Free Play. The Clippers are coming off a loss against Golden St. on Sunday and it has now been four losses over their last six games and they have failed to cover five of those. Los Angeles is now 6.5 games behind Golden St. in the NBA Pacific Division and a game behind Dallas for fourth place in the Western Conference. The Clippers are 9-5 at home after a 2-2 start to this homestand and they have one more game here on Wednesday against Sacramento before hitting the road for an important three-game roadtrip against the Western Conference. This is a great bounce back spot as the Clippers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following a double-digit loss at home. The Pelicans are coming off a 127-105 loss to the Jazz on Saturday which snapped a two-game winning streak and they remain in second to last place in the Western Conference. They have struggled on the road with just two wins in 12 games and they have covered only three of those and this number has actually come down based on the recent Clippers stretch. New Orleans is getting outscored by close to 13 ppg on the road and it catches the clippers at the wrong time. The Pelicans are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games as a road underdog. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off a home loss, playing teams with a winning percentage of .250 or worse. This situation is 63-32 ATS (66.3 percent) since 1996. Play (528) Los Angeles Clippers

Matt is 105-88 L44 Days! He is 14-9 in the NFL since Week Nine and is on a 23-12 NFL Run L35 releases! Going back, he is on a 666-570 +$34,683 NFL run since 2012! College Football is 37-26 since October! 211-176 +$18,024 CBB since 2019-2020 highlighted by Top Plays going 11-7 YTD! 327-287 NHL +$13,641 record since 2018! The NBA is 28-22 L50 Plays!

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 29, 2021
Pacers vs Wolves
Wolves
-3 -102 at pinnacle
Lost
$102.0
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Monday Supreme Annihilator. Minnesota is coming off a double overtime win at Philadelphia on Saturday and the Timberwolves have now won six of their last seven games to get back to .500 at 10-10 overall. They are now three games behind Utah in the NBA Northwest Division while sitting tied for seventh place in the Western Conference, two games out of fourth place. Minnesota is 6-6 at home yet has won four straight here following a three-game losing streak at the Target Center but those losses came against the Clippers twice and the red hot Suns. The Timberwolves are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a favorite. The Pacers went 1-2 at home leading up to tonight, the most recent decision a 118-100 loss to Milwaukee on Sunday. They are coming off a win in their most recent road game at Chicago to snap a three-game losing streak on the highway and they are just 3-9 on the road this season. Indiana has struggled from long range all season as it is hitting at a clip of just 33.4 percent and the challenge will be difficult here as the Timberwolves are allowing an average of 31.9 percent from behind the arc which is third-best in the NBA. Indiana has failed to cover three of its four road games this season following a loss. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after having won five or six of their last seven games, with a winning percentage of between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 49-20 ATS (71 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (518) Minnesota Timberwolves

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Nov 29, 2021
Seattle Kraken vs Sabres
Sabres
+130 at SC Consensus
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the BUFFALO SABRES for our NHL Monday Breakaway. Seattle is coming off just its second road win of the season and it was a big one at that as it defeated Florida 4-1 as a +174 underdog. It was the first loss on home ice this season for Florida. It has been an up and down season overall for the Kraken in their first year in the league and now they come in as a road favorite for just the second time this season and the first one resulted in a loss to then winless Arizona. Seattle is averaging 2.30 gpg on the highway which is eighth fewest in the league while giving up 3.70 gpg which is tied for seventh most. Special teams have been better but this is a tough spot with the recent road schedule. The Kraken are 0-5 in their last five games against teams with a losing record. The Sabres lost on Saturday at Detroit in overtime and they are now 1-4-1-0 over their last six games. The overall damage has been on the road where they are 2-5-2-0 compared to a respectable 6-5-1-0 at home and that home slate has been a brutal one of late. Buffalo had lost four straight home games prior to a win over Montreal in its last game on home ice but those four losses came against Toronto, Calgary, Columbus and Boston which are a combined 51-24-6-0 so those defeats should not come as much of a surprise. Home wins against Tampa Bay and Edmonton do show they can compete against the better teams yet take a step down in class here as a great price. Buffalo is 12-5 against the money line in its last 17 games after losing their previous game in overtime. Here, we play against road favorites against the money line off a road win by three goals or more, playing their 3rd road game in four days. This situation is 23-9 (7.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (34) Buffalo Sabres

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 29, 2021
Iowa vs Virginia
Virginia
+2 -113 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the VIRGINIA CAVALIERS for our CBB Monday Enforcer. Virginia opened the season with a stunning eight-point loss at home against Navy as a 15-point favorite and while a team from the ACC, especially with this pedigree, should never lose a game like that, it was a situation that was not overly surprising. The Cavaliers had another great season last year but they were bumped in the first round of the NCAA Tournament and brought back only one starter from 2020-21. After the Navy loss, Virginia did bounce back with a win but then were blown out by a very good Houston team. Since then, the Cavaliers have won four in a row including impressive wins over Georgia and Providence and they now seem to have the rhythm in play as it took a few game for new players to gel. The Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog. Iowa is off to a 6-0 start and while it too is dealing with a lot of attrition, notably losing one of the best players in program history in Luka Garza, it has had the benefit of playing a very easy schedule. All six wins were at home so this is the first road game for the Hawkeyes and they come in with a schedule ranking of No. 353 out of 358 teams so this is clearly their biggest challenge of the season. The Hawkeyes are just one of four remaining undefeated teams in the Big Ten but their counterparts have played more daunting schedules so the fact Iowa possesses the highest scoring in the nation is skewed based on who it has played and now faces a real defense. The Hawkeyes are 0-8 ATS in their last eight road games following three or more consecutive home games. Here, we play on teams after allowing 65 points or less in three straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 80 points or more in four straight games. This situation is 44-17 ATS (72.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (806) Virginia Cavaliers

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 29, 2021
Seahawks vs Washington Football Team
Seahawks
+1 -110 at William Hill
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Seattle has lost two straight and five of its last six games but three of those came against three of the top four teams in the NFC and most of those were without Russell Wilson who is back for his third game and should be healthier. The Seahawks have scored just one touchdown since his return but they do face a defense that has struggled this season especially against the pass where they are ranked No. 30, allowing an average of 270 ypg. The Seahawks cannot afford another loss, as dropping to 3-8 would most certainly knock them out of any playoff hope. This offense is too good to be held down and the absence of Chase Young is a big one as the offensive line is in a better spot. Seattle is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 road games after allowing 375 or more total yards in two consecutive games. Washington finds itself on a two-game winning streak, including an upset of the defending Super Bowl champion Buccaneers. They had lost four straight prior to that and while they can build off this recent run, we are not sure which team to buy at this point. This line has been bet down considerably and the majority of the action remains on Washington as everyone is down on the Seahawks at this point. Quarterback Taylor Heinicke has been playing well but may be without two of his top receivers behind Terry McLaurin with Curtis Samuel and Adam Humphries listed as questionable. Heinicke had a passer rating of 84.3 in the first eight games of the season before catching fire but we are not sure if this is sustainable. Washington is 6-19 ATS in its last 25 home games after gaining 175 or more rushing yards last game. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season averaging between 5.4 and 5.8 yppl and after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl. This situation is 22-6 ATS (78.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (273) Seattle Seahawks

SERVICE BIO

Matt Fargo is becoming recognized as one of the best and most consistent handicappers in the world. He has been handicapping professionally since his college days and his hard work and dedication have paid off considerably. In his 14 years of handicapping, Fargo has had winning seasons 11 times and has not had only one losing season in the past 10 campaigns. He brings with him numerous high ranking finishes in all sports with 23 Top Tens in the past five years alone including four #1's.

Matt has appeared on numerous radio shows over the last few years giving out sought after information, free plays and spot-on analysis that the bettor needs. He is commonly referred to as "Mr. Analysis" as his game day reports are considered to be some of the finest and most thorough available anywhere. If you want reasoning for a play, Matt gives it to you.

Rating Scale

Play Rating will be displayed in each title and range anywhere from 5* to 10* for Premium Plays and 3* for Free Plays.

Enforcer – this is the Signature Play for Matt and is usually backed with a 10* Rating unless otherwise noted.

Supreme Annihilator – this is typically a favorite or a pickem that Matt feels has the opportunity to destroy the line.

Dark Horse Dandy – this is an underdog that is being faded for the wrong reasons and usually has a chance to win a game outright.

Star Attraction – this is a game that can be seen on national television providing great watch and win opportunities.

Total Dominator – while rare, these are the best over/under releases and occur more in football and baseball than any other sports.