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Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports-NFL/ College Football/NBA/NHL action now on board. Get the sports investment info the books do not want you to have.
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 29, 2021
Tarleton St vs Gonzaga
OVER 137½ -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 29, 2021
Texas-Arlington vs UC-Santa Barbara
UNDER 137½ -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 29, 2021
Montana vs Oregon
Oregon
-13 -107 at linepros
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 29, 2021
Central Michigan vs Kentucky
UNDER 147½ -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 29, 2021
Wizards vs Spurs
Spurs
+3½ -103 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

 The Spurs may not inspire bettors, but they actually matchup well against the Wizards from a style of play perspective, and must be respected as underdog vs a Wizards side, that has failed to cover in 7 of 11 road games this season. After upsetting the Celtics last time out and a taken part in a competitive game vs the Suns a couple games back the well rested Spurs in their current form look dangerous from a underdog perspective on their own home floor.  Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.Spurs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Spurs are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Wizards are 0-21SU  L/21 visits to San Antonio. 

SAN ANTONIO is 24-13 ATS  in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. 

Wizards are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 29, 2021
Hornets vs Bulls
Hornets
+5½ -105 at pinnacle
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

Charlotte is a side that has flown under the radar this season, as is evident by their recent 8-2 run that has seen them cash 8 of those tilts behind the No.1 ranked offense in the NBA . Meanwhile, Chicago is getting huge accolades, but have recently looked sub par losing 3 of their L/4 abd look vulnerable here vs a side that can light the board up very quickly making them strong back door cover candidates and very possible SU pup winners  .  

CHICAGO is 7-18 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 29-14 ATS  versus sub par  offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons.. Hornets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Hornets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after allowing 120 points or more are 40-13 L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. 

NBA team vs the money line (CHARLOTTE) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 235 points or more 2 straight games are 29-7 L/25 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Take the points with Charlotte to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 29, 2021
Cornell vs Canisius
Canisius
-2½ -110 at Mirage
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 29, 2021
Pacers vs Wolves
Wolves
-3 -102 at pinnacle
Lost
$102.0
Play Type: Premium

The Minnesota Timberwolves matchup well here vs a Indiana side on tired legs  that is off playing at home last night vs the Bucks . Things don't look to get much better for a Indiana side that is  shooting at below 34 percent from behind the arc  which  ranks in the lower-half of the NBA. Thats not a good omen for the Pacers vs a Wolves D  allowing an average of  just 31.9 percent from long range, third-best in the NBA. The Wolves grabbed their  seventh win in the last eight games and are in top form and very much have an edge here in this current form. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more are 33-2 L/25 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Minnesota to cover (up to -3 ) 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 29, 2021
Thunder vs Rockets
UNDER 216½ -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Houston is off a back forth offensive slugfest last time out and Im betting on a precipitous letdown here from an offensive standpoint. This in itself will make this a lower scoring affair , much like when they teams played last , where the Thunder took a 101-89 victory.  HOUSTON is 14-4 UNDER   after scoring 130 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

The Thunder rank 29th in ppg scored and 12 in ppg allowed.  

Under is 8-0 in Thunder last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

  HOUSTON is 14-4 UNDER  revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 212.7 ppg scored.   

HOUSTON is 14-3 UNDER   at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 214 ppg scored.  Under is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.

Under is 14-3-1 in Rockets last 18 games as a home favorite.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY/HOUSTON ) - in a game involving two poor three point shooting teams (33% or less), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 44-12 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston.

Play UNDER

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 22 years.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigious event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.    

I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.