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Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 29, 2021
Notre Dame vs Illinois
-4 -115 at BetVegas
Play Type: Top Premium

8* Illinois (9:00 ET): It might seem like an ideal time to fade the Fighting Illini, as they are coming off a very narrow win over UT Rio Grande Valley and have multiple players either injured or sick. But they still have Kofi Cockburn, who carried them against UTRGV with a career-high 38 points. Sometimes all you need is that one great player and Cockburn is definitely one of the best in the entire country this season. Despite their uneven start to the year, I think the Illini are going to take care of business here vs. Notre Dame in the opening day of the Big 10 vs. ACC Challenge. 

Notre Dame just played in the Maui Invitational, which was held in Las Vegas this year. The Fighting Irish lost two of their three games in the desert, the one win coming against D-II Chaminade. They are now 0-4 ATS on the season as the final game of the tournament saw them blow a 10-point halftime lead against Texas A&M and lose 73-67 as 3.5-point favorites. That was a tough stretch of three games in three days for the Irish and while they’ve had the last four days off, I don’t think they’re ready for their first Top 25 opponent of the young season. 

Illinois is 0-4 ATS its last four games, including two outright losses, but I like the short number here in what is a favorable matchup. Cockburn and teammate Alfonso Plummer both went for 30+ against UTRGV, marking the first time since 1990 Illinois had two players go for 30+ in the same game. Notre Dame doesn’t defend well as opponents are making 42.7% from three-point range against them. And with Cockburn, the Illini should also be able to dominate down low. Lay the points. 8* Illinois

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 29, 2021
Grand Canyon vs Loyola Marymount
Grand Canyon
+4 -110 at Caesars
Play Type: Top Premium

8* Grand Canyon (10:00 ET): The Antelopes of Grand Canyon University face their second West Coast Conference opponent in three days here. Back on Saturday, they edged Pepperdine 59-56 but did not cover the number as 3.5 point favorites. This time GCU is an underdog as it heads to Loyola Marymount. It will be the first time this season that GCU is an underdog. They have a 5-1 SU record with the lone loss coming by seven (at home) to Wyoming. I think they’re the better team here, so take the points. 

Loyola Marymount is 4-2 SU. They lost the opener 75-64 (as seven-point favorites) to UT Chattanooga. The other loss was less surprising, as it came against Florida State, but it was a humbling defeat as the Lions went down 73-45 as 6.5-point dogs. Since that loss to FSU, LMU has defeated SMU (as a 3.5-point dog) and Prairie View A&M. The game vs. PV A&M was closer than expected (as in decided by three points) as LMU came in as 13.5-point chalk for that game. So they are just 1-2 ATS as favorites thus far and have just one win by greater than seven points.

Loyola Marymount actually trailed Prairie View A&M, a winless team, at the half on Saturday. They were very fortunate to get to the charity stripe 36 times as they converted 32 of those FT attempts. Without that, they probably would have lost the game. That Grand Canyon was able to win its last game, despite going 5 of 19 from three-point range, is a positive sign as I anticipate they’ll shoot a lot better tonight. When the Antelopes faced PV A&M earlier in the season, they won by 27. GCU has also held four of its six opponents below 60 points. 8* Grand Canyon

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 29, 2021
Seahawks vs Washington Football Team
OVER 46½ -110 Lost
Play Type: Top Premium

10* Over Seattle/Washington (8:15 ET): Since Russell Wilson returned to the lineup, the Seahawks have gone 0-2 SU and scored just 13 points. That point total is a little misleading though as Wilson threw TWO interceptions in the end zone against Green Bay. With the season very much on the brink heading into tonight, look for Wilson and the Seattle offense to “pick up the pace” against a Washington defense that has mostly struggled in 2021. Through the first four games of the season, the Football Team had the worst third down defensive efficiency in league HISTORY! They are still giving up 26.7 PPG. 

Washington’s offense has gotten better though, specifically QB Taylor Heinicke, who will be seeking to be the first QB to throw 3+ TD passes in B2B games for the franchise since Kirk Cousins did it back in 2016. The Football Team is coming off back to back upset wins, the first a real shocker as they were 10-point dogs and beat the Super Bowl Champion Buccaneers 29-19. Last week, they went to Carolina and won 27-21. Seattle’s defense was very poor at the start of the season. While it’s gotten somewhat better over the last month or so, it is still giving up over 400 YPG for the year. 

So I’m looking for this game to go Over the total. Yes, Seattle games are 8-1-1 to the Under (8-2 for some) this season, but I really do think this is the game where we start to see the “old Wilson.” As for Heinicke, he’s thrown for more than 245 yards in six of his nine games. The Over the L4 times that Washington has been off a SU win. 10* Over Seattle/Washington


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