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NCAA-F  |  Dec 16, 2017
Marshall vs. Colorado State
Colorado State
-3½ -105
  at  BMAKER
in 8h

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Colorado State -3.5 

The Colorado State Rams were expected to compete for a Mountain West title this season with all they had returning.  But they failed to live up to expectations.  They went just 7-5 in the regular season for a third consecutive year, and now Mike Bobo’s job is perhaps on the line. 

There’s no question the Rams will be motivated.  They have lost three straight bowl games overall, including the last two in the favorite role.  They lost as 15-point favorites to Idaho last year as they failed to show up.  This senior-laden team will want to get their first taste of a bowl victory in this one. 

I also think Colorado State is undervalued after losing three of its final four games to close out the season. But one of those losses was a 52-59 (OT) loss to Boise State in which they blew a 24-point lead.  That 52-point effort just shows the kind of firepower this offense has against a very good Boise State defense. 

Senior QB Nick Stevens wants to try to impress NFL scouts one last time.  He leads a potent Colorado State offense that will be the best unit on the field Saturday.  The Rams average 501 yards per game and 6.7 per play.  They have a balanced attack with 211 rushing yards per game and 5.2 per carry, as well as 290 passing yards per game and 8.5 per attempt.  I believe they simply outscore Marshall here. 

I also like the fact that Colorado State is familiar with the field for the New Mexico Bowl.  The Rams beat the Lobos 27-24 in New Mexico earlier this season.  They are used to the altitude, while Marshall is not.  They will also have a lot more fans there as it’s a much shorter trip for Colorado State fans than Marshall fans. 

Marshall feasted on an easy early schedule to get off to a 6-1 start.  But the Thundering Herd came back down to earth down the stretch against some better competition.  They went just 1-4 in their final five games.  Now they have a laundry list of injuries and possible suspensions, most notably on the offensive and defensive lines. 

The Thundering Herd have a poor offense and won’t be able to keep up.  They average just 370 yards per game and 5.3 yards per play.  They do have a good defense, but they haven’t seen many offenses as potent as Colorado State this season. 

The Rams are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Colorado State is 16-6-1 ATS in its last 23 non-conference games.  We are getting the better team here in the Rams at just over a field goal, and they’ll be highly motivated while also playing in familiar surroundings.  Bet Colorado State Saturday.

Jack Jones has put together THREE TOP-8 College Football Finishes L5 Years (#3 in 2012-13, #4 in 2014-15, #8 in 2016-17) to really put a beating on the books on the NCAA gridiron!

No. 3 Ranked Football Capper in 2017! Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 837-704 Football Run long-term! That includes a 161-107 Run on his last 268 football plays, including a HOT 107-68 Run on the gridiron over the last 13 weeks!

No. 9 Ranked College Football Capper in 2017! Jack is riding a 441-343 CFB Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in OVER $70,000! He has posted a 61-45 CFB Record this season alone!

Hop on board for Jack's 2017-18 College Football Bowl Pass for $299.95! This package will earn you all of his CFB releases from today through the National Championship Game in January!

NFL  |  Dec 17, 2017
Ravens vs. Browns
OVER
40 -112
  at  BMAKER
in 1d
Can you name the team that has scored the most points during the last two weeks in the NFL? You might be surprised to know it's the Ravens. They are averaging 41 points in their last two games and 30.8 points a game in their past six games.  Joe Flacco is coming off his two best games of the season and Alex Collins has emerged as a good runner ranking third in the league with a 5.1 yards per carry average. The Browns rank 29th in scoring defense allowing 25.8 points per game. They are down several key defenders due to injury and trade.  Baltimore's defense was just torched by Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers. Roethlisberger threw for 506 yards in a 39-38 win against the Ravens last Sunday night. Some of that was due to the Ravens missing their top cornerback, Jimmy Smith. He's out for the season.  DeShone Kizer is no Roethlisberger. But Kizer is improving each week, has a big arm and excellent mobility. The Browns have stocked up on their weapons. Kizer has two dangerous wide receiving targets now with Josh Gordon and Corey Coleman. So the Browns are fully capable of helping this total go Over, too.  Weather shouldn't be a problem with only a slight wind and temperatures in the 30s. The condidtions were much worse in Cleveland last week yet both the Packers, with backup quarterback Brett Hundley, and the Browns were able to move the ball with a combined 48 points being scored.  (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is recognized as one of the top NFL 'cappers in North America with the record to prove it. Stephen is zooming in on his 22nd winning NFL season in 24 years cashing nearly 60 percent of his premium/free plays during the past eight weeks. Fresh off a Thursday winner with the Broncos, Stephen has one of his strongest packages of the season going Sunday headed by his NFL Chalk Game of the Month.) 
NCAA-F  |  Dec 19, 2017
Akron vs. Florida Atlantic
Akron
+23 -115
  at  BOVADA
in 3d

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #211 Take Akron Zips over Florida Atlantic Owls (Boca Raton Bowl, Tuesday, 12/19 7 pm ESPN) What a season Lane Kiffin had at Florida Atlanta this season. He won 10 games to go along with a Conference USA Championship. But unfortunately Florida Atlantic may be the end of the line for him, as he was not considered for a coaching promotion due to the bridges he has burned in the past. I just do not see them running over an Akron team that is thrilled to be in this bowl game. Toledo is a very similar team to Florida Atlantic and I expect a similar result in this game, a 15-18 point victory for FAU. Akron is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. FAU is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 nonconference games. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card featuring bowl and pro games. 11-2 run on NFL Top Plays so sign-up now and let 46 years of handicapping experience work for you. 

NFL  |  Dec 17, 2017
Eagles vs. Giants
Giants
+8 -110
  at  BMAKER
in 1d

1* Free Play on the New York Giants.

Eli Manning and the Giants are playing for pride the rest of the way. Last week New York fell 30-10 to Dallas. Injuries and other issues led to the Giants miserable season, but they won’t be going down without a fight. They also play with revenge after falling to the Eagles 27-24 earlier in the year. Philadelphia comes in off a 43-35 win at the Rams, but the victory came at a major cost, as starting QB Carson Wentz has now been lost for the remainder of the season to injury. Note that Philadelphia is just 5-8 ATS in its last 13 played on “turf,” while New York is 2-1 ATS this year off a division game, 2-1 ATS after a loss to a division rival and 4-3 ATS after two or more consecutive losses. Consider the GIANTS in this one.

AAA Sports

NFL  |  Dec 17, 2017
Ravens vs. Browns
OVER
40 -110
  at  5DIMES
in 1d

Free pick on Browns OVER

I just don't think the mark here is high enough for Sunday's AFC North clash between the Ravens and Browns. I'm not expecting a 38-31 shootout or anything like that, but I don't think it's asking a lot for these two to eclipse 40 points. 

Cleveland's offense has shown some flashes since they added in Josh Gordon. He's caught 7 passes for 154 yards and score in two starts since returning from his suspension. I think he's starting to find his rhythm with DeShone Kizer and could be in store for a big day. Keep in mind the Ravens recently lost their best corner in Jimmy Smith and without him in their last game, Pittsburgh's Antonio Brown had 11 catches for 213 yards. Roethlisberger also connected 10 times with Jesse James and 9 times with Le'Veon Bell, as he threw for 506 yards. 

As for the Ravens offense, I think they were so bad early on that people are overlooking their strong showings of late. Baltimore's 38 points were definitely aided by the Steelers missing star linebacker Ryan Shazier, but they also had 44 the week before against Detroit and are averaging 31.3 ppg over their last 6. Cleveland's defense is better than it gets credit for, but it's also allowed 27 or more in 4 of their last 6 games. 

It's also worth noting that Baltimore has trended towards playing in high-scoring games than expected when coming off a heartbreaking division loss. The OVER is 16-6 in their last 22 games when they are coming off a loss by 3-points or less to a division rival. OVER is also 5-1 in their last 6 road games and 6-0 in their last 6 games played in December. Take the OVER! 

NFL  |  Dec 17, 2017
Bengals vs. Vikings
Vikings
-10½ -110
  at  5DIMES
in 1d

Take Minnesota (#312)

Cincinnati hasn’t been a double digit underdog in any game since 2008; a testament to the strength of Marvin Lewis’s tenure with the team.  Of course it is probably worth noting that Cinci went 0-3 ATS in their final three tries as double digit dogs nearly a decade ago; non-competitive in defeat.

The Bengals were non-competitive in defeat again last week, walloped 33-7 at home by a Bears team that came into the game with a 3-9 record.  The quotes coming out of Cinci’s locker room after the defeat weren’t particularly positive, to put it mildly.  Andy Dalton: “We didn’t have a lot of energy.” George Iloka: “We came out flat.” Brandon LaFell: “We laid an egg.”  So what changes this week?  Not much!

Cinci is an injured riddled mess right now.  Their entire starting linebacking corps has been unable to practice this week.  Don’t expect LB’s Vontaze Burfict, Kevin Minter or Nick Vigil to suit up on Sunday.  CB Dre Kilpatrick is still in concussion protocol, unlikely to see action.  CB Darqueze Dennard was limited on Thursday, as was safety Shawn Williams.  RB’s Joe Mixon and Giovani Bernard are both banged up, as is TE Tyler Kroft, DE Carlos Dunlap and offensive tackle Eric Winston. 

It’s looking more and more like Marvin Lewis’s extended tenure as the Bengals head coach is coming to a close.  Veteran teams at the tail end of disappointing seasons with a lame duck head coach are not generally ‘bet-on’ squads on the highway against elite defensive foes.  And when that elite defensive foe is coming off a loss, like the Vikings are, it’s a particularly bad spot for the road underdog.

While Cinci’s injury list continues to grow, the Vikings should get starting CB Xavier Rhodes back in the lineup this week, and they could have LT Reilly Reiff and TE Kyle Rudolph healthy as well.   Right tackle Mike Remmers and center Pat Elflein are both expected back in the starting lineup this week after missing the game against Carolina last Sunday.

And the Vikings have proven they can beat teams by margin. Eight of their ten wins have come by eight points or more; not a squad giving up late backdoor touchdowns to kill their pointspread backers.  This is NOT too much of a price to lay backing a legit Super Bowl contender at home against a team that showed nothing but ‘quit’ last week.  Take the Vikings.

Teddy enters the weekend riding a 24-9 (73%) All Sports Run since the beginning of December.  He's on a major college hoops heater, 17-3 (85%) w' his last 20!  Teddy's NFL has been rock solid too, 60% for the year & 71% this month!  Plus, he's hit 67% in bowl season over the last two years and he's nailed three straight Big Ticket Reports!  Cash in w' Teddy all weekend long!