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NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Cardinals vs. Rams
UNDER
47½ -110
  at  BETONLINE
in 12h

Free Pick on Rams/Cardinals UNDER

I think we get another defensive battle in London with the Rams and Cardinals. These two NFC West rivals combined for 50 in the final meeting last year, but that was all Arizona in a 44-6 win. The previous six meetings all finished with 46 or fewer points and I look for it to return to form here. 

The Rams got people excited about their offense early, but they put up big numbers against bad defenses. I know the Cardinals have allowed 30+ in each of their last two games, but they had the Bucs held to just 6 points last week before taking their foot off the gas in the 4th quarter. A mistake they won't make again after letting it get too close at the end. 

The other key here is the Rams are starting to play up to their potential on defense. It started in the 2nd half against Dallas when new DC Wade Phillips moved a couple rookies into the starting lineup. They have been lights out since and I think they make life miserable for the Cardinals in this one. 

UNDER is 9-3 in the Rams last 12 games against division opponents and 11-5 in their last 16 off a win. It's also 7-3 in the Cardinals east 10 against the NFC West and 4-1 in their last 5 after giving up 30+ points. Take the UNDER! 

NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Bengals vs. Steelers
Bengals
+5½ -110
  at  5DIMES
in 15h

Recommendation: Take the Cincinnati Bengals (#455)

Teddy delivered a 4-0 Sunday/Monday Night NFL sweep, now hitting 63% through the first six weeks of 2017.  Teddy's riding a 67% MLB hot streak since the start of the playoffs!  And Teddy went 2-0 with his first two bets of the NBA season, both easy, 'right side' winners!  Don't miss a single cash all weekend long!

The Pittsburgh Steelers got a win and cover against the Chiefs last week, but it wasn’t because their offense was fixed.  Pittsburgh has struggle week after week on the offensive side of the football, averaging less than 20 points per game (#22 in the NFL) despite their bevy of skill position talent.  Much of the problem has come from the QB position, where, quite frankly, Ben Roethlisberger looks old.  And the quotes coming out of the Steelers locker room have this bettor very concerned with the fragile mental state of this team right now.

Check out this Roethlisberger quote, talking about former tight end Heath Miller, who retired two years ago.  “You develop that relationship with Heath over years and years in practice. Plus the type of person and teammate he was. He was probably the best teammate I’ve ever played with and one of the best men I’ve ever known in my life.”  Contrast that quote with the Martavis Bryant ‘I want to be traded’ rumors.  Note the modest production from rookie WR JuJu Smith Schuster.

Right now, Antonio Brown is the only consistent downfield weapon that they have.  RB LeVeon Bell had 35 touches on the Steelers 63 offensive snaps last week – too many for a balanced offense.  In three October starts, Big Ben has a 2-7 TD-INT ratio, and he currently ranks #30 out of 32 NFL QB’s in passer rating.  Both TD passes during that span came on poorly thrown balls – both could have been INT’s!  And it’s surely worth noting that the Steelers lauded home field edge at Heinz Field isn’t so great these days.  Mike Tomlin’s squad is just 2-5 ATS in their last seven regular season tries as home chalk.

While the Steelers offense continues to struggle, the Bengals appear to have figured it out!  Andy Dalton threw four picks without a TD over the first two weeks before Marvin Lewis fired offensive coordinator Ken Zampese after facing a ‘near mutiny’ in the locker room.  The Red Rifle completed only 54% of his passes while averaging just 6.0 yards per attempt in those games.

In the three games under new OC Bill Lazor, there’s been a ‘night and day’ type difference.  Dalton’s completion percentage is up to 73%, he’s averaging 8.9 yards per attempt with a 7-2 TD-INT ratio.  Tight end Tyler Kroft is developing into a solid weapon over the middle for Dalton; a team that isn’t missing injured tight end Tyler Eifert as much as they did last year.  This sure feels like a ‘somebody wins it by a field goal’ kind of game.  Too many points!  Take the Bengals.

NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Cowboys vs. 49ers
49ers
+6½ -110
  at  5DIMES
in 15h

Play - San Francisco 49ers (Game 470).

Edges - 49ers: 5-1 SU at home following three consecutive away games; and 8-3-1 ATS in this series; and 8-4 SUATS last 12 games versus NFC East opponents… Cowboys: 3-11 ATS as road chalk with Garret against foes off an ATS win… With the Niners returning home off five straight losses by a filed gal or less, we recommend a 1* play on San Francisco.  Thank you and good luck as always.

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