Louisiana State and Alabama couldn’t settle the ultimate debate when the Tigers took a slim 9-6 overtime victory against the Crimson Tide back in Week 10. Thankfully, the powers that be have pitted these SEC rivals against each other again – this time for the national championship.

I have been the nation’s #1 handicapper if you need further proof check out Trackpicks.com who document our picks or Sportscapping.com a site I’m on with some of the nation’s best handicappers. We are currently on a 12-4 ATS run in college football and NCAAF 116 - 69 (62.7%) + $17,350.00 - L185 picks.

It’s a rematch of the match up that ended in a 9-6 overtime victory for LSU over the Tide back in Week 10. Unlike many I am happy to see this rematch because it’s not even close, these are the two best football teams in the nation. The first time around I was a winner on LSU +5 and you can read my write up right here. You can pick up tonight’s 5.5* MAX NCAAF POD guaranteed or 3 days FREE!

The X-Factor
Obviously it comes down to special teams and LSU has the edge with Tyrann Mathieu, but was he a huge factor in the first match up? No he was not that is because Alabama is very sound in special teams and they just don’t let kickoff and punt returns be the reason they lose. Still LSU has a punter that if you remember boomed a 73 yard punt from his goal line which was a key play in the match up back in November.
For Alabama the X-factor are the tight ends. Brad Smelley and Michael Williams have to be the reason Alabama wins this game because the secondary of LSU is very very good. Not only are they keys to the passing game but they are extremely important in the running game.

Update From Vegas Sportsbooks:
There is a lot of noise on twitter and some other sources saying there is a lot of money pouring in on Alabama from professional bettors in order to manipulate the line so they can come back after and bet it at +3. As of right now the line that opened up with LSU as -1.5 point favorites has moved to -2.5 in favor of Alabama at most shops. It just goes to show you that line movement does not always mean what you think it does. In most cases Vegas tries to get action on both sides and an ideal world they’d like even money on both sides. They know as much as we do at the end of the day there is no crystal ball and betting on sports is not easy by any means. Any team can win and tonight is one of those games that clearly show that. However, I’m confident in my selection tonight and I have been well over 60% of the year coming up with big win after big win. I look to continue my undefeated ways in the National Championship moving to 4-0 ATS with a win tonight. DON’T MISS OUT! Continue Reading

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