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Jimmy Boyd |
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| FREE PICKS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
| NFL | Jan 17, 2026 Bills vs. Broncos |
Bills +1½ -105 at PLAYMGM |
in 1h |
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1* Free Pick on Bills +1 The Buffalo Bills are being undervalued as a road underdog in this Divisional Round matchup. This line suggests these teams are even on a neutral field, but the Bills are the superior roster from top to bottom. Buffalos offense is peaking at the perfect time. They rank 3rd in the league in EPA per play over their last five games and have shown incredible balance. The Broncos are coming off a very fortunate win last week. They were outgained by over 100 yards and relied on two fluky turnovers to sneak into the next round. Denvers offensive line is the biggest liability on the field today. They are missing two starters on the right side, which is a massive problem against this Buffalo pass rush. The Bills defensive front is finally healthy and should live in the backfield all afternoon. Expect constant pressure that forces the Broncos into quick, low-percentage throws. Josh Allen is the ultimate equalizer in the postseason. His ability to extend plays and pick up first downs with his legs will wear down this Denver defense in the thin air. Denver has struggled to get off the field on third downs lately. They rank in the bottom five of the league in defensive success rate over the last month of the season. Buffalo has also been a consistent moneymaker in this specific spot. They are 6-2 against the spread as a road underdog over the last two seasons. The Bills are the more complete team and have the clear advantage at the quarterback position. I expect them to win this game outright, but we will take the points for safety. I like the Bills +1.5. |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Jan 16, 2026 Marquette vs DePaul |
DePaul -3 -110 at Ace |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Free | ||
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1* Free Pick on DePaul -3 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Jan 16, 2026 Colorado State vs Boise State |
Boise State -5½ -110 at Buckeye |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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5* NO BRAINER of the Week on Boise State -5½ All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models. |
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| PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Jan 17, 2026 UCLA vs Ohio State |
UCLA +170 at Ace |
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| Play Type: Premium | ||
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3* HEAVY HITTER on UCLA +170 Ohio State is reeling right now with a decimated frontcourt that cannot protect the rim. The Buckeyes lost star forward Brandon Noel to a foot injury earlier this month and he remains out indefinitely. To make matters worse, starting center Christoph Tilly is a game-time decision after suffering a head injury last Sunday against Washington. Ohio State's interior defense is a sieve without those two, and they currently rank just 153rd nationally in defensive rating. UCLA is coming in hot after a double-digit road win over Penn State where Trent Perry exploded for 30 points. The Bruins have the discipline to exploit Ohio States lack of depth, especially since they lead the conference in turnover margin. Mick Cronins squad averages just 9.8 turnovers per game, the 44th best mark in the country. They won't give Ohio State cheap transition points, forcing the Buckeyes into a half-court grind they can't win without their primary scorers. While UCLA is missing Skyy Clark, theyve already proven they can win without him by relying on a defense that holds opponents to just 41.9% from the field. Ohio States offense has been explosive, but they've struggled against elite pressure, as seen in their recent loss to Washington where they surrendered 81 points. The Bruins' defensive efficiency and superior ball security give them the clear upper hand in a matchup against a shorthanded home favorite. UCLAs ability to limit second-chance points will be the difference against a Buckeyes team missing its top rebounders. The line is overvaluing home court and ignoring the massive injury gap between these two rosters. The value is on the Bruins to pull the upset on the road. I like the UCLA ML (+170). |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Jan 17, 2026 Virginia vs SMU |
Virginia -120 at Bovada |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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4* VEGAS INSIDER on Virginia -120 Virginia wins this game by dictating the tempo. The Cavaliers slow the pace to a crawl and force opponents to play in the half-court for forty minutes. SMU wants to run and score in transition, but those lanes will be closed off all afternoon. The Mustangs rely on fast-break points to hide their half-court offensive flaws. Virginia ranks in the top 15 nationally in defensive efficiency and effective field goal percentage defense. They do not give up easy baskets or second-chance opportunities. SMU is coming off a high-scoring battle and now faces the most disciplined defense in the country. The Mustangs struggle mightily when they are forced to execute against a set defense. Virginias ball security is elite, ranking among the best in the nation in turnover rate per possession. They will not give SMU the live-ball turnovers needed to fuel their preferred tempo. SMUs defense often loses focus when they are forced to guard for 30 seconds every possession. The Cavaliers have a clear edge in late-game execution and veteran poise. This road spot will not rattle a Virginia team that thrives on defensive pressure. Expect the Cavaliers to frustrate the Mustangs and win the battle of styles. I like the Virginia ML (-120). |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Jan 17, 2026 Florida vs Vanderbilt |
Florida +115 at Ace |
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| Play Type: Premium | ||
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3* HEAVY HITTER on Florida +115 Florida walks into Nashville as a live underdog that is simply too big for this Vanderbilt roster to handle. Vanderbilt is currently ranked in the top 10, but they just got physically bullied in a 16-point loss to Texas. That is a fatal flaw against a Florida frontcourt featuring Rueben Chinyelu and Alex Condon. Florida is playing without leading scorer Walter Clayton Jr. due to an ankle sprain, but they haven't slowed down. The Gators have the depth to fill scoring gaps and the defensive length to disrupt Vanderbilt's rhythm. Memorial Gym is a unique environment, but the oddsmakers are overvaluing the home-court factor in this spot. The Gators will control the glass, limit Vandy to one shot per possession, and win this game outright. Bet Florida ML (+115). |
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Boyd is a former collegiate golfer and University of Iowa Law grad that ensures you success in every sport he covers. Jimmy's quality sports selections with game-breaking analysis make him a major force in the handicapping industry for years to come. No Brainer: This is one of Jimmys highest rated plays. After reading his write-up on the game you will see why this plays title is so fitting. These picks are reserved for major mismatch advantages and strong value plays. Heavy Hitter: Jimmys Heavy Hitter plays are backed by a wealth of statistical analysis and fit into one or more of his many winning systems. This is the well-rounded gem of Jimmys top plays, and it covers games from every angle. Vegas Insider: Nobody spots a winning system like Jimmy Boyd. His Vegas Insider label is reserved for plays backed by the strongest systems and trends on the board. Bailout Blowout: There is no better way to end the day than picking up a big win on the final game of the evening. Jimmys Bailout Blowouts come on late games and they have built a strong reputation as being a consistent winner. All of Jimmys picks get monitored around the web. Jimmy is one of the very few handicappers that have actually earned the stripes to be regarded as a top Industry player. There are not many handicappers in the industry that can match his long term success rates. |
