Free Play on Bucs -2.5. The Tampa Bay Bucs are still pretty banged up, but I like this spot for them. Tampa Bay comes off a bye week ready to go here. New England has been rolling of late, but many of their wins have come against lower level NFL teams. Drake Maye is a good QB, but the Patriots team overall still has some room to grow. I like Mayfield and the Bucs to come out ready to play. Take Tampa Bay.

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*3 Star Play Under* The Marist Red Foxes are well coached by John Dunne. Dunne is well known for his excellent defenses and slow style of play.

Marist had a really good scorer last year in Josh Pascarelli, but he transferred to Colorado State in the offseason. There isn't anyone who appears to be a natural scorer on this Marist team, so I expect them to try hard to get into low scoring battles where they can win with their defense. They just held Xavier to a 66-62 game in their first game.

Dartmouth plays faster than they did in the past, but they are much better on defense than offense. Dartmouth has been top 20 in the nation in both defensive rebounding percentage and defending without fouling in both of the last two seasons.

Take the under here.

*3 Star Play Under* The South Dakota Jackrabbits have a new coach this year, and they have slowed their pace down drastically. South Dakota State had been in the top 100-150 range in average possession length in the last few years, but they are just 303rd in the country so far this year. South Dakota State only scored 68 points on Dakota State University in their last game. South Dakota State is still good at limiting the opposition to one shot, but they no longer have all kinds of outside shooters like they did in many years in the past.

Northern Iowa is good on the defensive glass, and they don't put the opposition on the line very much. Northern Iowa isn't as slow as they once were, but they are still clearly a below average pace team.

I think this total is several points too high.

Take the under.

*3 Star Play Under* The San Francisco 49ers host the LA Rams at Levi's Stadium. This stadium is known for being a grass field, and divisional games here have played strongly toward the under. In fact, the last seven times the Rams played at the 49ers and the total was higher than 44: the under is 6-1 with an average margin of more than a touchdown toward the under.

The Rams defense is top five in the NFL in yards per play allowed. The Rams have been solid in all aspects of the game on the defensive side of the ball.

The 49ers have only played one game that went over this total all season long. They don't have the explosiveness on offense that they normally have when their wide receivers are healthy. They are more conservative in their play calling.

Take the under here.

*3 Star Play on Ravens* The Baltimore Ravens are obviously one of the best teams in the NFL with a healthy Lamar Jackson. They dug themselves a really big hole that they must now play their way out of in order to stay in the playoff fight. They can't take any weeks off.

Lamar Jackson is 31-18 ATS on the road. The Ravens have been road warriors with Jackson under center.

Minnesota is coming off a nice win, but the Vikings have proven not to be trustworthy this year. They were blown away at home by the Falcons earlier in the year with McCarthy at quarterback. Even last week, the offense only put up 258 yards.

Baltimore should move the ball well here, and I don't think Minnesota can trade scores with them. The Ravens defense has gotten healthier in recent weeks too.

Take Baltimore.