*3 Star Play Under* Eury Perez is an excellent young starter for the Marlins. He had his first poor start in a long time in his last outing. Perez is in the top 7% of all pitchers in the majors with an expected batting average allowed of just .204 according to Baseball Savant. His velocity is up and he's averaging 98 mph on his fastball.

Gavin Williams has taken a big step forward for the Guardians this year. Williams has a 2.77 ERA at home on the season. Williams is inducing softer contact while at the same time creating more swings and misses. He has a 1.63 ERA in his last six starts. His WHIP in those six starts is an impressive 0.93.

The weather will cool off in Cleveland the light winds will switch around after the morning rain to a wind from the north. Those are good conditions for the under at Progressive Field.

Take the under.

*3 Star Play Under* The Chicago Sky team has looked quite a bit different without Angel Reese since she's been out the last few games. Reese had the highest offensive ratings (largely because of her great offensive rebounding prowess) on the team, but she had the second lowest defensive efficiency ratings of any Sky player. With Reese out, the Sky have given more minutes to Onyenwere and Williams and they are two of the top three on the team in defensive efficiency. Chicago's pace has slowed down drastically too in recent games.

The Sun have had a very poor season overall. They did just get rid of one of their worst defenders in terms of ratings (Sheldon) and they too have slowed down their tempo of late.

In the last five games, the two teams at the bottom of the WNBA in terms of offensive efficiency are the Sky and the Sun. I think the offensive efficiency numbers from these two could be pretty bad.

Take the under here.

*3 Star Play on Brewers -1.5* The Milwaukee Brewers have won 11 straight. Milwaukee's lineup is getting some fantastic production out of the top and bottom of the order. Frelick and Turang have been amazing. William Contreras is turning into a top player as well.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are now 17-41 on the road this year. Pittsburgh has been decent at home, but on the road they are just getting blown away. That includes a blowout even with Paul Skenes pitching last night.

Milwaukee's Brandon Woodruff has a 2.29 ERA and a 2.16 expected ERA on the season so far. Woodruff has 6 walks and 45 strikeouts.

Mitch Keller has been pretty good for the season as a whole, but he has hit a wall of late. Keller has a 4.60 ERA and a 5.18 FIP in his last six starts. He isn't generating as many swings and misses of late.

Keller has terrible lifetime numbers against the Brewers. In 86 plate appearances against this Milwaukee lineup, he has allowed a .411 weighted on base average.

In 80 plate appearances against the Pirates lineup, Woodruff has allowed a .153 batting average and a very good .238 wOBA.

The Brewers bats have been on fire of late, and I'll take them on the run line at plus money here.

Take Milwaukee -1.5.