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Matt Fargo |
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NBA 24-9 run. Matt keeps it rolling tonight with THREE Winners as he goes for the 3-0 SWEEP. CBB 250-226-4 run with the NCAA Tournament in full force. TWO Sweet 16 Winners for Friday. MLB Sweet Spot on Friday night. |
FREE PICKS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Mar 29, 2024 Clippers vs. Magic |
Magic +2 -110 at CIRCA |
in 7h |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our Friday Free Play. The Clippers followed up a pair of home losses with a one point win at Philadelphia on Wednesday. They are in the No. 4 spot in the Western Conference but just a half-game ahead of New Orleans and moving up is unlikely as they are five games behind Minnesota and Oklahoma City and 5.5 games behind Denver for the first three spots. Orlando had been on a 10-2 run but lost against Sacramento on Saturday and again on Wednesday against Golden St. in a pair of rare home losses. The Magic are 25-10 at home while covering 24 of those and come in as the slight underdog tonight. Orlando is a game and a half behind Cleveland for fourth place in the Eastern Conference and this is a team that needs to lock down their home floor for the first round of the playoffs so all games are huge going forward. Orlando is 10-2 ATS this season following consecutive losses. Here, we play against favorites with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 off a road win by three points or less, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 131-77 ATS (63 percent) since 1996. Play (502) Orlando Magic NBA 24-9 run. Matt keeps it rolling tonight with THREE Winners as he goes for the 3-0 SWEEP. CBB 250-226-4 run with the NCAA Tournament in full force. TWO Sweet 16 Winners for Friday. MLB Sweet Spot on Friday night. |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Mar 28, 2024 Celtics vs Hawks |
Hawks +17½ -110 at circa |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Boston will be motivated tonight to avenge an awful loss against Atlanta on Monday as the Hawks overcame a 30-point deficit to end the Celtics nine-game winning streak with a 120-118 victory. It was the biggest comeback in Hawks history and the largest comeback in the NBA this season so while this revenge spot heavily favors Boston, it goes from a 10.5-point favorite to a 17.5-point favorite. Sorry, but no matter who is in the Atlanta lineup tonight, a line shift like this is ridiculous with huge value on Atlanta which still has more to play for at this point. The Celtics locked up the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference thanks to Milwaukee losing to the Lakers on Monday and they have all but locked up the best record in the league as they are 6.5 games clear of Denver. Atlanta has won three in a row after its win over Portland last night and remains No. 10 in the Eastern Conference and it remains a game and a half behind Chicago which also won last night and getting to that No. 9 seed is big to avoid playing Boston in the first round should it get past the play in game. Boston can win by 30 but the probability is not there and we will gladly jump on this overinflated number. 10* (568) Atlanta Hawks |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Mar 28, 2024 Tigers vs White Sox |
White Sox +165 at Ace |
Lost $100.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX for our MLB Opening Day Sweet Spot. It has been a while since Detroit has been in the public spotlight but that is the case before the 2024 season as the Tigers are a popular pick to win the American League Central over the favored Twins. The lines are showing this on Opening Day as they are a big favorite in Chicago which is picked to finish last in the division and we are fading the public here. Tarik Skubal is +900 to win the American League Cy Young which is tied for the fifth lowest odds with a lot of this based on last season. In 15 starts, he allowed two runs or less 11 times but he had a very easy opposing schedule and while the White Sox are not expected to do much, it is due to having no pitching as their lineup from 1-6 is legit. Garrett Crochet gets the start for Chicago which shows how limited this rotation is but he has potential. Some scouts had Crochet as the most dominant pitcher in the Cactus League over his 12.2 innings, during which he recorded 14 strikeouts and one walk while his fastball topped out at 100 mph. The Tigers lineup is not going to scare anyone at least early on as it is loaded with young talent but six of the nine spots are not set in stone. 10* (924) Chicago White Sox |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Mar 28, 2024 Alabama vs North Carolina |
Alabama +4½ -110 at Ace |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE for our Thu. Sweet 16 Enforcer. North Carolina came into the NCAA Tournament as the lowest No. 1 seed and it is currently rated lower than three No. 2 seeds as it comes in No. 8 overall of remaining NCAA Tournament teams. The Tar Heels easily overmatched Wagner in the opening round and surprisingly rolled over Michigan St. by 16 points to advance to the Sweet 16. They are and always will be a publicly bet team and are laying a short number which will bring more attraction with already 73 percent of tickets and 68 percent of money on them but with very little line movement. This is another contrarian angle play and this is based upon head coach Hubert Davis. The Tar Heels missed the NCAA Tournament last season after their huge 2021-22 run and going back to that, Davis is 8-0 ATS in the NCAA Tournament, being only the third coach to start his coaching career 8-0 ATS or better in the big dance. Alabama has had no issues with its two mid-major opponents as it beat Charleston and Grand Canyon by double digits which is huge for confidence and momentum for a team that limped into the NCAA Tournament with losses in four of its previous six games. Kansas and Auburn are already out as No. 4 seeds so the Tide got a good draw and starting to re-peak after what was an overall great season. 10* (635) Alabama Crimson Tide |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Mar 28, 2024 San Diego State vs Connecticut |
San Diego State +11 -110 at Ace |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our Sweet 16 Game of the Year. Connecticut is still arguably the best team in the country as it once again looks unstoppable following its National Championship run last season. The Huskies are a very public team right now and for good reason as they have covered eight straight NCAA Tournament games going back to last season so this is the contrarian move. Obviously, they have not let the big numbers deter their ATS run as they have been able to cover the inflated numbers and linesmakers are now forced to make huge adjustments based on this. The bad news is that this is a horrible spot to be in with 85 percent of tickets and 91 percent of money coming in on them and going back, NCAA Tournament teams with 80 percent or more of the action on their side are 2-11 ATS over the last 19 years. San Diego St. is not getting the respect here as this is a tournament tested team that is looking to make another run to the championship game and the Aztecs are of course doing it with their defense as they are No. 8 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They got a scare from UAB but rolled over Yale and while the defense will be tested against the No. 2 ranked offense in efficiency, mucking up this game and making it low scoring heavily favors the underdog, especially a quality one getting double digits. 10* (633) San Diego St. Aztecs |
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Matt Fargo is becoming recognized as one of the best and most consistent handicappers in the world. He has been handicapping professionally since his college days and his hard work and dedication have paid off considerably. In his 14 years of handicapping, Fargo has had winning seasons 11 times and has not had only one losing season in the past 10 campaigns. He brings with him numerous high ranking finishes in all sports with 23 Top Tens in the past five years alone including four #1's. Matt has appeared on numerous radio shows over the last few years giving out sought after information, free plays and spot-on analysis that the bettor needs. He is commonly referred to as "Mr. Analysis" as his game day reports are considered to be some of the finest and most thorough available anywhere. If you want reasoning for a play, Matt gives it to you. Rating Scale Play Rating will be displayed in each title and range anywhere from 5* to 10* for Premium Plays and 3* for Free Plays. Enforcer this is the Signature Play for Matt and is usually backed with a 10* Rating unless otherwise noted. Supreme Annihilator this is typically a favorite or a pickem that Matt feels has the opportunity to destroy the line. Dark Horse Dandy this is an underdog that is being faded for the wrong reasons and usually has a chance to win a game outright. Star Attraction this is a game that can be seen on national television providing great watch and win opportunities. Total Dominator while rare, these are the best over/under releases and occur more in football and baseball than any other sports. |