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[Pick Bot]

4-Dime NFL POD *6point teaser Patriots -5 (buy 6) with Chargers -4 (buy6) -110
I hate to be a complete square but I just can't help it as both favorites have dominated the opponents and I don't see either under dog any better this year than they were last year compared to how much better the Patriots and Chargers will be this year!

Take Over 47.5 Bills/Patriots

Why Patriots?
First off I don't like the number of +11 despite thinking the Patriots win this game by 2 scores it could easily be a TD and a FG, but I don't see the Bills coming within 5 points of the Patriots here tonight. The Bills have been dominated by the Patriots under Bill Bellechick including 2-0 SU & ATS last year without Tom Brady. In 2007 it was the Patriots out scoring the Bills 94-17. I do not see it being that lopsided this year as the Bills offense has improved and the Patriots defense has taken a step back after losing Vrabel, Bruschi, Harrison, and now Seymour. I don't expect the Bills to be able to run the ball at all tonight without Lynch and with Wilfork and Warren up front with Mayo an excellent LB in stopping the run. However, the Bills should be able to move the ball by passing on the Patriots weak secondary. However, they won't be able to keep up with what I think is an even better Patriots offense than 2007 where they went 16-0. I expect an anxious Tom Brady here tonight to go along with newcomers Fred Taylor and Joey Galloway who will stretch the field with Moss allowing the Patriots to run the ball when they want. I'm expecting 30+ points out of the Patriots and 2 TD + FG from the Bills. Although I see the Bills improving on offense they did score 3 points in pre season on 15 possessions for the first team and they will certainly miss their All Pro tackle Jason Peters. Which is why if you don't have the teaser available go with the Patriots here.

Chargers vs. Raiders
Raiders can only improve and they did that defensively when they picked up Richard Seymour who now is expected to play. However, I still see a Raiders team that has a long way to go and I'm not totally sold on Jamarcus Russell to be able to match the Chargers here. Again I like the Raiders defense and secondary, and I see the Chargers running the ball a lot here tonight. So I don't know if 10 points is too much on the road at Oakland, but I feel much better with the teaser at -4 or even 3.5 if you get it there. Chargers have won 12 straight over Oakland and 10-1 ATS including a 28-18 victory here last year as well as a 34-7 home victory. Raiders have improved, but not nearly as much as the Chargers improve specifically on defense with the return of Shawne Merriman. I expect some turn overs to be what kills Oakland here tonight and I just can't play on a team that will turn the ball over in their own zone.