Lions vs. Vikings (4.4 Dime NFL Play of the Day!)

[Pick Bot]

Take Lions +10.5 4.4 Dime NFL POD (1-5 scale)
I really like this play and some of you may think I'm crazy, but the Lions are just getting disrespected at home here. Lions are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 times being a double digit dog. Their lone loss coming on the road last week against the Saints, but the Saints and that offense do not stop passing and it was a mis-match for the Lions. Look for the Vikings to continue with their conservative approach of playing defense and giving the rock to Peterson. Lions only lost to the Vikings by a combined 6 points in two games last year so you know this team matches up well. If the Lions can cause a few mistakes from Favre, or a fumble from Peterson watch out. Peterson did lead the league in fumbles last year people forget that. Also I can't believe they are getting this many points at home. Since the 1985 season the Lions are 26-10-1 ATS when they are coming off an ATS loss as a dog now playing a division opponent as an under dog. The margin of victory was -2.5 points, so the Lions keep the game close in division games. Vikings since 1985 after a win, and going over now facing an opponent as an away favorite 10-13.5 points are 9-26-1 ATS with a margin of victory of 4.6 points. Take the Lions to cover the spread here again in a game that will be much closer than you think.