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**59% T.Y. on NCAAB POD - Wed's 4-Dime POD Just $10! Guarant

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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**59% T.Y. on NCAAB POD - Wed's 4-Dime POD Just $10! Guarant

Postby Pick Bot » Wed Dec 23, 2009 8:06 pm



Yesterday we got an easy winner on UAB covering by 9 points over Butler. We are now 10-7 ATS on NCAAB POD's and we'll look to continue that streak here on Wednesday in a 7:00pm match up! Part of our Xmas Special we are releasing this play for just $10 guaranteed or 1 day of NCAAB Free!

Take Old Dominion -7.5 (4-Dime POD)
This is one of those games where the public money is flying in on the under dog for no good reason. Sure Charlotte is scoring lots of points and they are winning easily on their way to a 9-1 record. But a close look shows us they are playing lame defenses and although they are #76 in the RPI their competition and strength of schedule is significantly worse than Old Dominion who has faced an opponent with a .591 win% while Charlotte's opponents have a .377 win %. Looking over the defenses they have faced it has not been impressive. The overall strength of schedule is more than 100 point difference.

We looked into it further and we saw a road game last year for Old Dominion (they are home tonight) where they flat out dominated the game +13 rebound margin and held Charlotte to 41.7% shooting. They dominated on the perimeter shooting 50% from three. Overall they only shot 43%, but what made it a 1 point game and win after leading by 1 at half time was turnovers which they committed 18 and FTA they got to the line 6 less times and Charlotte was basically perfect from the charity stripe. Those two factors are going to be different here tonight.

First off Old Dominion a favorite to win their conference got their poor performance play out of the play when they played some top talent teams hence the strength of schedule they have regrouped and should be able to make a push for the conference title. They are #1 in the nation in points allowed, and #50 in FG% defense as well as #18 in 3PT% defense. This is going to be a wake up call for Charlotte who has not faced competition like this except their only loss to Duke by 42 points. At home ODU has a +8.1 rebound margin and that's against strong opponents while they also have a significant FTA advantage as opponents are just getting their 11.4 times. That will really hurt Charlotte's PPG on the road because they rely on 24 attempts. They only shoot 41% on the road and again against a strength of schedule that is poor to say the least. Now they go into Old Dominion where they won't win the rebound margin they most likely will shoot at a lower FG and 3PT% and that turnover battle they won a year ago they will lose here tonight. Old Dominion is +3.8 TO margin at home while Charlotte is -5.5 TO margin on the road and again that's against poor talent. Old Dominion #39 in the RPI is the best team other than Duke that this team has played. Oh also ODU is grabbing 14.4 offensive rebounds at home, when they miss they'll be getting many 2nd chance points.
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