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*2.5 Dime +DOG Money Line Bracket Buster Winner - Guaranteed

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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*2.5 Dime +DOG Money Line Bracket Buster Winner - Guaranteed

Postby Pick Bot » Fri Feb 19, 2010 10:06 pm


A winning day with a 3-1 night including a free winner on Syracuse money line and St. Mary's late. Overall we picked up a modes 2.5 units of profit. We are back with a strong under dog play here tonight. You will catch this team at +150 or higher and the value is there for this team to roll with a big victory. Don't miss out it's guaranteed or Saturday's full NCAAB card is FREE!

William & Mary +168 (2.5 Dime Play)
Way too much value on a team like WM against an Iona team struggling at some points this year at home. Iona lost last Friday to Manhatton at home and I'm not convinced with this team out of the MAAC. Right now they sit at 2nd place and now they face a team from a much deeper Colonial conference that features four top 100 RPI teams as oppposed to two from the MAAC. Siena and Iona are the only two from the MAAC while the CAA has Northeastern, ODU, VCU, and William & Mary with several other teams right at the bubble. W&M and the rest of the CAA have stronger strength of schedules to. WM comes in at .5388 as opposed to Iona's .4917.

These two do have one common opponent in Uconn. Both teams struggled in this game to defend against a much larger talented Uconn team. It was WM that stuck around the entire game and Iona lost by 19 points and gave up 58.9% from the field while WM held them under 54%. Now this was at the beginning of the season and both teams have changed since. WM was the talk of the lower conference world as they beat Richmond and had a pair of victories on the road against Wake Forest and Maryland.

William & Mary statistically do not have as good of a defense, but it's not off by much, and as I shown by the stats in the Uconn game I believe that they might be a bit better. For example they held Northeastern the team ahead of them in the conference to 34.7% shooting from the field and just 24 points through the first 31 minutes of the game a week ago. This team has hit more than 200 three point shots on the other side and Iona will be challenged to guard the perimeter like they never have before. William and Mary puts up 46.7% of their shots from beyond the arch while Iona's opponents have shot 32% from beyond the arch. They better get used to defending the perimeter tonight and it will be more of a challenge as Mary has got some weapons on the post including Marcus Kitts who just started to develop over the last three games with 35 points and 29 rebounds.

More importantly Iona's regular season is not over as they have a big match up a week from today vs. Fairfield a team they are tied for in the conference. While William & Mary has two games at home they will be favorites in. That means this is the game for WM to concentrate on and with some top non-conference wins they could get into the picture if they can go far in their CAA tournament.
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