5.5* Max NFL POD - 20-10 ATS lifetime on MAX NFL POD's - 74-

[Pick Bot]

Do not miss out on our conclusion of Thanksgiving Day as we have saved the best for last and we back it up with an in depth analysis! We are on our play of the days! - You can pick this play up guaranteed or Friday is free or pick it up in my

Ravens -3 (5.5* NFL POD)
I love the Ravens for the simple fact that the 49ers are not used to playing this type of game on both sides of the ball. They play physical themselves, but how often do you see them going up against opponents like this and on a short week and traveling across country? One other time when they faced the Bengals in a 13-8 win, but remember that was an even younger Andy Dalton that was not cut loose until a few games ago.

Ravens on the other hand well they have faced 4 like defenses to the 49ers in the Bengals, Steelers (2x), and Jets. Guess what they went 4-0 straight up and ATS and they put up 31, 23, 34, and 35 points. The 30 point games came at home and as we all know they are a different team at home. Why do I bring up this style of football? Well the 49ers will have to take chances in this game running the ball and throwing short just won’t work. They are +17 in turnover margin for a reason it’s been a very vanilla approach meanwhile we saw the Ravens take chances down the field a week ago. That should keep the 49ers defense on its heels and open things up a bit for the Ravens offense. I don’t think the 49ers can do the same thing.

Next l like Baltimore’s offense which is converting 39% of its third downs this season to the 49ers 32%. While it’s the Ravens defense not the Niners that get off the field more than the Niners 32% to the Niners 34%. 49ers are 7-22-4 ATS in their last 33 following a straight up win of 14+ points while they are 1-7-2 ATS in their last 10 as an underdog while the Ravens are just outstanding at home 48-23-2 ATS in their last 73 as a favorite. If you bet this game at all you have to go with the Ravens and I love them at a field goal.