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4.4** NCAAB POD Goes late at 9pm et - Guaranteed

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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4.4** NCAAB POD Goes late at 9pm et - Guaranteed

Postby Pick Bot » Wed Dec 21, 2011 10:06 pm




MTSU +2.5 (4.4* NCAAB POD)
Close calls the last two days in games but we fell on the wrong side this time we'll have the dog so when it gets to be a close game again we should be fine. MTSU is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 as a dog .5 to 6. Miss has been prone to playing a lot of close games this year and MTSU actually won earlier in the year by 20 points vs. UCLA so they are very capable of taking down a big team. MTSU is shooting a nation's second best 53.7% from the field and over 40% from the perimeter. while the Rebels come in at just 43%. Both teams play good defense with Miss allowing 39.2% shooting by opponents and MTSU right behind them with 39.5%. The main advantage on paper is that Miss averages 40 rebounds a game while MTSU is at 35, but a closer look reveals that's more to do with FGA per game as Miss is 70th with a 52.9% rebound percentage while MTSU comes in at 93rd with 52.3%. MTSU I believe actually matches up well pound for pound down low with Laron Dendy 6-9 230 and JT Sulton 6-8 230. Miss has 4 guys between 6-7 and 6-10, but I believe MTSU has more talent in this one in what will be an back and forth game I'm taking the better shooting team.
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