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NCAAB POD - 50-20 ATS This Year - #MAC Tournament 6:30pm

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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NCAAB POD - 50-20 ATS This Year - #MAC Tournament 6:30pm

Postby Pick Bot » Wed Mar 13, 2013 6:32 pm




<b>Ball State +3 -105 3.5* NCAAB POD (Based on 1-5* scale)</b>
I think Ball State + the points provides enough value in this situation as they finished the season on a nice winning streak winning 5 in a row and 3 of those wins came on the road as under dogs of +4.5, +9.5 and +6. They also have revenge after leading at half time at home against Buffalo. I think this team will have the advantage playing on the neutral court closer to home compared to Buffalo who has a longer travel to Cleveland.

Both teams playing on the road or neutral court and the splits for away/away are in the advantage of Ball State. Ball State is slightly better at rebounding and turnover margin as well as getting to the FT line more often. both teams rely on the 3 35%+ of the time and Ball State shoots 34.9% compared to Buffalo at 30.9%. Ball State's defense is better too from the perimeter.

2point defense is where Buffalo had the advantage during the regular season, but they have allowed 52% over thier last 3 while Ball State has allowed 47.7%. Buffalo is also 3-7 ATS following an ATS loss. I like how Ball State is playing of late and I think it's a trend that will continue into the MAC Tournament here tonight.
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