1.1* FREE NCAAB Play #Oregon vs. #Louisville 70-31 L101 Bbal

[Pick Bot]

Oregon +11 1.1* FREE PLAY
The big thing in this game is Oregon’s ability to deal with Louisville’s pressure defense which had a record breaking 20 steals and forced 27 turnovers in their last game. Oregon is no stranger to turning the ball over leading the PAC 12, but they also led the PAC12 in forced turnovers per possession. I think there is enough value despite the public being on Oregon and the line rising. Louisville is just on an insane ATS run right now and it’s bound to end very soon as they are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 overall 20-7 ATS in their last 27 neutral games. Oregon has been playing exceptional going 17-8 ATS in their last 25 vs. a team with a win % greater than .600. The only thing keeping me from making this a premium play is the extra time off. I think if Oregon was able to jump into this game they could have continued their hot shooting. Despite all of that I do think they will be competitive.

Oregon faces Louisville who is 2nd in the nation in forcing turnovers per possession, but they are 3-0 vs. an 8th ranked team, 21st ranked, and 76th beating St Louis and Oklahoma State in this tournament who both likes to force turnovers. Louisville is also ranked 27th in 2 point defense where Oregon will take most of their points. If Oregon is able to get into the half court they are a very good passing team and are actually 4-1 SU vs. teams ranked inside the top 55 in 2 point defense. In the tournament they have beaten Oklahoma State 14th, and St Louis 55th.