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[Pick Bot]

We have continued to rack up the profit numbers on this young NFL season which reminds me of last year where we were the best in the nation in September and October. We look to continue that solid start and earn a consistent profit the rest of the year and that starts again on Sunday. My full in depth analysis clearly show the amount of time and research I put into these selections so that you have a ton of confidence when you bet them big.

Rams +3.5 4.4* NFL Early Bird Play
I don't think this Cowboys team deserves any points at home as they have had no home field advantage since "Jerry World" has opened. The Cowboys also were handed a win in week 1 when the Giants decided to turn the ball over 6 times otherwise this Cowboys team is sitting at 0-2 after the offense struggled a week ago. The Cowboys lines are just not very good and that's painfully obvious when you look at third down conversions and red zone conversions. Cowboys are ranked 24th in red zone defense allowing 71% TD's while the Rams are at 60%. Cowboys are also 20th in RZ TD% offense, and are ranked 29th in converting on third down. The Rams posess the #1 sack unit from last year sacking QB's at the highest percentage of drop backs. Meanwhile the Rams have protected Sam Bradford who has not been sacked yet.

Sam Bradford and the Rams showed in the second half how good they can be. Jeff Fisher has been reluctant to let this offense loose with the no huddle, but int eh second half last week we saw it and we saw the Rams nearly come all the way back to beat the Falcons on the road after trailing 24-3 at the half. The Cowboys simply don't have the pass rush right now without a healthy Anthony Spencer and they have a new defensive scheme that will continue to struggle early on. I feel the Rams will go on the road and pull the upset here and I won't even be shocked.

Browns +7 3.3* play
Wow, Cleveland is without their starting running back who they traded to the Colts and their QB Brandon Weeden and the public has poured in on the Vikings. I will take the value here with the Browns as Trent Richardson really was not the reason why this team moved the ball or didn't. This league is a QB league and RB's are a dime a dozen. This team clearly knows what direction they want to go in and I applaud them for realizing a draft pick mistake and still getting a first round pick from the Colts.

The media has killed the Browns for this move, but right now I think the Browns rally together go on the road and put themselves in position to beat the Vikings who have been unimpressive to start the season. Cleveland's defense has been stout and are ranked #1 vs. the rush right now allowing just 2.0 ypc and their pass defense has always been solid in recent years with Joe Haden leading the secondary. Up front the Browns sacked Miami 4 times and Baltimore 2 times and facing Christian Ponder and the Vikings is clearly a downgrade offensively. Ponder is the worst QB in this league he just can not move the chains and is very lucky he has the best RB in the league behind him, but Peterson can't do it all. On the other side the Vikings have one of the worst defenses allowing 32.5 ppg and 440 yards per game. Brian Hoyer has one career start and we saw him move the ball against the 49ers last year 19-34 225 yards with a TD and an interception. With Josh Gordon returning at WR and Norv Turner being a very good offensive coordinator in these situations I won't be shocked when the Browns have a chance to win this late.