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3.5** ncaab play of the day

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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3.5** ncaab play of the day

Postby Pick Bot » Thu Jan 08, 2015 8:03 pm




Michigan State +3 -102 3.5* NCAAB POD

I will take the Spartans here in conference play as a dog. First of all their adjusted offense and defensive numbers are quite impressive being 43rd on the offensive end and 9th on the defensive end. Their offense is very balanced with 4 guys averaging double digits which normally translates well on the road and they have a guy in Denzel Valentine that can score from anywhere on the court. The Spartans have also played 4 top 20 teams at the time they have played them and rank 90th in strength of schedule. There loss to Texas Southern at home and then losing to Maryland at home as well is what gives us some nice value on the road here. The defense is playing much better and they are top 25 in effective FG% on the defensive and offensive end.

Iowa on the other hand are 260th in strength of schedule and they are 261st in effective FG%. They rebound well and play solid defense, but I think both teams here play solid defense and Michigan State really has the advantage in coaching and in their offense. This will be a tough task for the Spartans, but I think they are up for it.
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