4* NCAAB POD Goes Later Today
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4* NCAAB POD Goes Later Today
San Diego State -120 4* NCAAB POD
We have gotten unlucky lately on top plays missing a few by just 1 point and it happened again last night despite Northern Illinois leading most of the way they were able to fall apart and lose by 4 points when we had them at +3 which really pissed me off but that's the nature of basketball which is why we are typically selective. Here today I think we get excellent value on San Diego State playing their biggest threat to winning the Mountain West in Boise State. San Diego State in my opinion is at another level than Boise State who relies on offense ranking 36th in adjusted ranking, but they have faced an opponent defense SOS of 186th. San Diego State is by far the best defense they have faced all year long ranking 5th overall and top 25 in defending the 2 and 3 ball. San Diego State also rebounds well and can turn you over and they have done so against a very tough schedule along the way. Boise leaves a lot to be desired defensively including their 207th ranked 2 point defense ranking. They are good about not sending teams to the FT line which is a good thing for the Aztecs because they are not very good % wise when they get there. San Diego State is 5-0 vs. teams not in the top 200 in 2 point defense with an average margin of victory of 14.2. This game's line is off a bit because San Diego State has struggled a bit on the road, but I believe their focus is on this game.
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