3 DIME PLAY!! CUBS vs. PIRATES! (8-1 l4DAYS!) ONLY $10

[Pick Bot]

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Lilly had a poor start his last outing but he is known to bounce back from a poor start. He has three games where he has given up 5ER or more not counting his last outing. In the three starts following those three starts he owns a 0.81ERA in 22.2IP. He'll face a Pirates club who has not hit him hard besides Ryan Doubmit who is not in the lineup. The Pirates are hitting just .213 vs. LHP in their last 5.

Ohlendorf will go for the Pirates here and with the money on the Cubs at 73% the line has dropped 5 points the other way. This tells me that vegas is expecting a quality start out of Ohlendorf. Ohlendorf has been very good at home with a 3.89ERA. The Cubs have never faced Ohlendorf so I think it may take them a few innings to adjust. They are also hitting just .209 in their last 5 vs. RHP.

Others trends: The Under is 13-3 in the Cubs last 16 vs. NL Central. The under is 9-4 in LIlly's last 13 on 4 days rest. The under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 games with Ohlendorf on the hill as a dog.

Take Under 8 runs 3Dime Play (1-5scale)