Early Bird Play - Guaranteed or $$ Back

[Pick Bot]

Middle Tenn +7.5 2.2*
I see some great value in this line given the fact that Louisiana Tech has the 104th strength of schedule while Middle Tennessee who has been pretty banged up through some of these games and is getting healthier has the 58th ranked strength of schedule. Statistically it appears Louisiana Tech has an edge, but there are a few things I like about the Middle Tennessee much more.

First I think they have the better QB in Brent Stockstill who leads an up tempo attack and has several weapons including Richie James and Ed Batties who will be a great challenge for the LA Tech pass defense allowing a 158 QB rating in conference play. Probably the biggest reason I like the Middle Tenn is their ability in the red zone and shows they have the better QB. They are 75% in the red zone this year in TD% and their defense is allowing 57% meanwhile LA Tech who has an easier schedule 55% TD % in the red zone, 53% in conference play and has allowed an 80% TD % at home this year.