2 PLAY Pacakge - 3 Biggest Games of the Day! 3 top 25 MATCH

[Pick Bot]

Oklahoma St +4.5 3.3* play
Both teams come into this game undefeated, both teams have had weak schedules with similar results. The only difference is the fact that TCU is coming off two big victories and Oklahoma Stat gave up 53 points at Texas Tech, and TCU bias before the season. Those are the reasons TCU is favored, but I can tell you the defenses this team has faced have been awful ranking 96th in total yards allowed, 97, 84, 103, 127, 121, and 25th (Minnesota – 23 points). Oklahoma State ranks 41st and is very good at home against the pass and the run. They also possess a top ranked pass rush ranking 4th in sack %, and have forced 19 turnovers.

TCU will struggle in this game, and I see Boykin making a couple of mistakes. They haven’t faced a single pass rush like this, and Oklahoma State has been known to pull upsets in Stillwater. I also like the fact that the Cowboys are ranked 14th in special teams efficiency and are better in tackles for loss, and in turnover margin as well as penalties per game. The little things make the difference. I still feel like too much stock is been given into last week. Oklahoma State gave up 53 to Texas Tech on the road while TCU gave up 52. There is plenty to like about both defenses, but home field advantage is on the side of the Cowboys. Remember in 2013 they beat #13 Baylor 49-17 here as a 7.5 point underdog.

Alabama -0.5 Teaser Florida State +17 3.3* teaser
I like Alabama at home here for various reasons. First of all when Alabama loses they lose due to the opposing QB play. The last 6 times this team has been beaten they have given up 17 TD’s and just 2 interceptions. LSU runs the ball 70% of the time which falls right into what Alabama wants to do. Alabama is #3 in stopping the run, and they are at home here. They have held each team under their season average with the exception of Georgia who had 1 carry for 83 yards which have tipped the numbers and that game was on the road and in garbage time.

The other thing I like about Alabama is they have faced a far tougher schedule and this is just LSU’s third road game and they struggled in both their other two against Miss State early in the season, a team replacing a ton of guys on both sides of the ball, and Syracuse (enough said). LSU has faced 1 top 50 offense in SEC play, meanwhile Alabama has faced 5 who rank in the top 50 in yards per play. LSU has only faced 2 defenses ranked in the top 50 in yards per play allowed, Alabama has faced 4. Alabama should be able to hold u for all 4 quarters, while I don’t trust LSU who rank 34th overall in adjusted defense, but 114th in the third quarter 47th in the 4th.

Florida State +17 Teaser
I love teasing these primetime games, because the lines are definitely sharp with Vegas taking so much action. In both cases I believe we are getting value. Clemson is everyone’s favorite team right now and while I have huge respect for them this conference still goes through Florida State. Florida State is getting healthy at the right time, and I think they will have plenty of options in the running game. On the flip side Florida State’s defense will keep them in this game. This is the most complete and balanced team Clemson has faced all year long with the exception of maybe Notre Dame, who should have beaten Clemson in reality in their own building. I believe Florida State’s defense is a bit better than Notre Dame while the offense is a bit behind, but very comparable. Florida State has just 2 turnovers all year, and I see no reason for that changing while Clemson has 14 including 1 in every single game.