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4.5 Dime MLB POD **5-1 L6 w/3 Dime Bonus **DOG play! 2-0 Gua

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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4.5 Dime MLB POD **5-1 L6 w/3 Dime Bonus **DOG play! 2-0 Gua

Postby Pick Bot » Sat Jul 31, 2010 7:10 pm


Starting to get on a roll with the POD with 5 of my last 6 all winners. In those 6 plays we had a 5 Dime winner and a 4.5 Dime winner. Today we come back with another 4.5 Dime winner and we have an under dog bonus that will be a nice win if it hits. Don't miss out on these two picks as we look to continue our POD success. Pick it up in my 3 day discounted pass for !

Phillies -124 (4.5 Dime MLB POD)
6 of Blanton's last 8 starts have all been quality starts where he hasn't given up more than 3 ER. The problem is he's giving up exactly 3 each time, but I believe he is building towards something and today is the day the Phillies get a lot of run support for him. Phillies go up against Ross Deltwiller making his 2nd start this year in his first it took him 86 pitches to get through 3.2 innings pitched. He'll have his hands full with a Philly line up here that has a .364 average against him in 22 AB. Philly has crushed lefties as of late .371 average 5.79 runs per 9 in their last 5 games and on the season on the road they are averaging 5.04 runs per 9 vs. LHP. With lefties like Rollins, and Howard you'd be surprised by this stat, but I'm not.

Philly is 37-14 in their last 51 meetings with the Nats after losing last night they'll rebound here today in a big way. Nats are 5-21 in their last 26 as dogs +110 to +150 and Blanton is 4-1 in his last 5 as a favorite while the Phils are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. lefties.

Washington hit last night off Oswalt but are still only hitting .255 over their last 10 vs. RHP.

White Sox -1.5 +135 (3-Dimes OE play)
This is an absolute pitching mismatch here today with Braden on the road who has a 5.03 ERA and his team is just 1-5 against the White Sox who are 23-3 in their last 26 as favorites including 15-2 at home. Danks who has a 2.91 ERA over his last three has a 2.54 ERA at home and the White Sox are hot right now with a .370 avg and 10.12 runs per 9 vs. LHP over their last 5 while Oakland just .284 and 3.71. The pitching and bullpen edge goes to White Sox and so do the bats. This is why you have seen this line climb from -137 to -160 and higher.

We will take the run line because 72% of the White Sox home wins have been by 1+ run while the A's have lost 79.4% by more than 1 run on the road. Oakland just 2-8 in Braden's Last 10 and 15-41 in their last 56 vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
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