5* MLB POD *UNDER DOG ALERT* - Guaranteed

[Pick Bot]

Brewers +111 5* MLB POD
I'm going to take a shot with the Brewers here. I really like the fact that they have hit well down the stretch - .298 average last 20 games, same as the Blue Jays. They also have the better bullpen in this match up and have hit much better vs. RHP over their last 10 games it's a difference of nearly 4 runs per game. Both teams face a RHP in this match up.

Koehler takes the mound for Miami and he's had a solid season on the surface, but he's been very lucky with strand % and hit %, and his raw stats suggest his ERA should be 4.5 or higher. He's also had issues with the Brewers allowing 16 ER in 14.1 IP in his 3 career starts dating back to the 2014 season.

On the other hand the Brewers are giving Ariel Pena a shot. Pena has a very live arm with solid velocity around 95mph with lots of movement. He's proven he can strike guys out int he minors, but control has been his issue in the past. I think we saw some recent starts by him this past year that suggest he's ready for the big leagues, and now he gets his opportunity and will be highly motivated facing a Marlins team whose offense is nothing to be afraid of.