4-dime MLB play of the day 6-0 last 6 guaranteed
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4-dime MLB play of the day 6-0 last 6 guaranteed
Don’t miss out on tonight’s MLB POD. I am 6-0 in my last 6 and tonight’s play is another I can’t wait to sit down and watch. Today’s write up is detailed with a in depth break down of the game and why you should feel comfortable backing my opinion. As always it’s guaranteed or 1 day of MLB is FREE Don’t miss out!
Rockies -106 (4-Dime POD)
I was on the Braves as a bonus last night as I felt they had a pitching advantage however tonight I feel the opposite and will back the Rockies who really know how to play at home it seems.
Rockies come with De La Rosa who continues to look better as he is coming of 7 IP 5 hits and 2 ER in his last start he’s got a 4.10 ERA at Coors. Derek Lowe will oppose him and the Braves are just 2-8 in his last 10 starts as he’s got a 4.96 ERA away from home this year. He does have a quality career over his last few starts vs. the Rockies, but this is a line up anchored by new talent that Lowe is not familiar with in terms of Carlos Gonzalez who has just 2 AB vs. Lowe. I think the lefty will give him troubles tonight.
Rockies at home are a different team and are 38-15 in their last 53 home vs. RH starter. 40-17 in their last 57 who have a losing road record as the Braves are struggling vs. quality teams as they are 8-17 in their last 25 as a road dog. Rockies are 15-3 in De La Rosa’s last 18 starts on 4 days rest. De La Rosa has given up 2 or 3 runs in all of his last 6 starts averaging 6.1 innings pitched. Atlanta overall has not hit lefties as well as righties and it’s the foundation for why I think they will lose tonight. Overall they -0.19 in average and -0.63 on the year. Away from home they are worse -0.40 in average and -1.32 runs per 9 vs. LHP compared to RHP at just 3.49 for the season with a .221 average. Rockies at home are out scoring based on this stat by 2.53 runs per 9 based on starters which they clearly have an advantage as they are hitting .298 6.02 runs per 9 vs. RHP.
Why is the line so low given these stats? Well De La Rosa has not been dominant and will likely keep the Braves in the game as the overall numbers for Colorado are not pretty with just 3.17 runs per 9 vs. RHP in their last 10. However, some games were on the road and they were without arguably their best hitter in Carlos Gonzalez for a few games. Add in that Todd Helton who has not been the same this year looks like he’s on the verge of getting hot with the winning hit last night and a 15-45 with a .333 average vs. Lowe in his career and I feel this is the best bet on the table tonight.
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