Monday's Free Play (15-8 L23 Plays!)

[Pick Bot]

Reds come into Philly after a brutal loss @ St. Louis yesterday by the score of 10-1. It was the infamous game where my write up was for the over and then I typed under as my play. I still feel extremely stupid about this my play was for the over you will see it at all three of the sports monitors that document me. None the less I marked it as a loss in my records here!

Back to this game.. Cueto goes for the Reds and he has started against the Phillies once this year going 7IP giving up 7H and 4ER. He'll face a Phillie lineup that is struggling a bit now .261 4.30 R/9. The offense is not the real reason why I am on the Phillies here it is on Cole Hamels.

Hamels was terrible in his last start giving up 6ER the last time he had a start like this he bounced back with a road start at the Dodgers and pitched 9 complete innings and gave up 5H to the best team in the National League. Hamels has a 3.86 home ERA compared to 6.34 road. More importantly is how the Phillies play when Rollins is right. Rollins .217avg and a .266OBP is not exactly what you are looking for out of a lead off hitter, but I think he may have turned the corner here with a 5-10 series against the Mets with a HR and he got on base 3 times with a walk so he was on base 8 out of 13 times!

80% of the Reds 20 road losses have come by more than 1 run! 75% of the Phillies home wins have come by more than 1 run.

Take the Phillies -1.5 +130 2DIME FREE PLAY (1-5SCALE)