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Friday's Free Pick (33-18 L51 Including 3-0 This Week)

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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Friday's Free Pick (33-18 L51 Including 3-0 This Week)

Postby Pick Bot » Fri Aug 14, 2009 8:10 pm





Take Astros +120 1-Dime Play
We get great value and that's because the Astros are traveling tonight from Florida to Milwaukee. I don't mind this as they pick up an extra hour of sleep on the way and it's been a known fact that they normally do not feel this kind of a trip until game 2.

Astros will throw their best starter out there on Friday and he is turning into a flat out ace in front of our eyes. His struggles have always been road starts and he's still not getting respect here as a road under dog despite having a 3.1 ERA on the road this year including a 1.16 ERA in his last 5 road starts. I don't mind backing him here again as an underdog against the Brewers who are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. LH starter and are batting only .217 vs. LHP scoring 4.13 in their last 10 games. As mentioned in today's article Wandy Rodriguez won't have to face two hitters in Hart and Weeks who usually hit him pretty well, Hart (11-27) and Weeks (5-16). Astros are 7-3 in Rodriguez's last 10 starts vs. LH starters. In his last 5 starts vs. the Brewers he has a 1.40 ERA. He has plenty of gas throwing just 53 pitches a start ago. Brewers send Gallardo to the mound and he's 1-4 in his last 5 on 4 days rest and as a -110 to -150 favorite.

Gallardo has not thrown the ball well of late well I should not say that he had a terrible outing at LA and had a nice bounce vs. Houston. However, I expect him to slip up here a bit and have a let down enough to capitalize on the Astros who are coming off a 4 games series with the Marlins where they scored 30 runs.
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