1.5* Free MLB play early bird special 2-0 start on free play
-
- Advertisement

1 post
• Page 1 of 1
1.5* Free MLB play early bird special 2-0 start on free play
Under 8 runs sea/ Tex 1.5*
Under 8 runs (1.5* Early Bird Free Play)
Rangers scoring 3 runs on Tuesday, could that mean their offense is slowing down? Not sure but this is a risky play but once you hear why you will be confident and know why it’s a free bet too. I was very tempted to pull the string on King Felix and Seattle looking at some number, but a couple things caught my eye and one is he had two starts where he gave 5 and 7 ER vs. Texas. No team has seen him more in the last three years as he has 117.1 IP against them.. Still an ERA under 4, but when a team sees you more they are more likely to get to you. The Rangers will not need much on Wednesday either. Here is the stat that pushed me away from the Mariners despite their relatively decent success vs. CJ Wilson. They were just 14-36 a year ago vs. lefties and they were just the worst team in day games producing just 2.71 runs per game. Now they go up against a lefty and playing the day after a night game this spells trouble for them against CJ Wilson who was very good last year early in the season. Texas on the other hand should be limited to runs and I think 8 is a high total with these two aces on the mound. Felix is just a monster during day starts he had a 1.95 ERA in 10 day starts a year ago and in the last three years combined he has a 2.21 ERA and in April he has also been a monster with an 8-2 record and a 2.27 ERA over the last three years. Texas although has been hot was in the bottom half of the league in runs scored during day games as they put up 1 run per game less than at night with just 4.13. Now facing an ace like Felix and their offense looking like it may be cooling off we find it the perfect time to take this. If you are a sucker for trends here they are. Seattle under 19-6-3 in Felix’s last 28 road games, seems to really put an extra effort when he plays a good team. Seattle U33-15-3 with Felix on the mound last 53 as an under dog and he’s under 40-18-4 in his last 64 road starts. He’s not a pitcher that is worse on the road or vs. a division. This one has a low scoring game written all over it and we will capitalize with Vegas posting it high as the Rangers have averaged 7 runs a game.
- Pick Bot
- Posts: 2364
- Joined: Thu May 21, 2009 12:21 am
1 post
• Page 1 of 1
-
- Advertisement

Return to Freddy Wills Released Picks
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 0 guests