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5** MLB POD 31-9 last 40 5*+ plays 9-5 this year on MLB pod

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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5** MLB POD 31-9 last 40 5*+ plays 9-5 this year on MLB pod

Postby Pick Bot » Fri Apr 15, 2011 7:06 pm


Pick up NBA Playoffs just Don't miss out on today's package wewent 3-0 yesterday and now have won 4 in a row on MLB pods today's play is guaranteed or one day is free it's a max play where I am 31-9 in my last 40!

Rays runlinr +170 1.5* bonus Rays -125 (5* MLB POD)
We are 31-9 in our last 40 5*+ plays that includes NBA, NCAAB, and MLB.  Tonight we are going with the Rays off their walk off game last night now they look to win another game and really get on a roll.  They were one of the best home teams a year ago and I still really like what I saw from Wade Davis in his last start vs. the Sox.  The Twins are last in the league in hitting and it doesn’t seem to be getting any better with Joe Mauer headed for the DL.   Tampa meanwhile over its last 5 games has had success 5.16 runs per 9 and their bullpen has just a 2.93 ERA while Minnesota just 2.91 runs and 4.41 bullpen.  Davis has a 8.71 ERA in two starts vs. the Twins so you might wonder where I’m going with this.  That’s such a small sample size and though Thome is 2-2 with 2 HR off the righty not having Mauer in the line up should really allow him to relax more. Nick Blackburn starts for the Twins who has been a pleasant surprise for them this early in the season.  Blackburn has an ERA under 1 and that’s why we are getting such a good deal on today’s line.  Blackburn though is a nightmare on the road posting a 7.51 ERA and he has a 9.82 ERA career at Tropicana Field.  The Rays active hitters have a 1.022 OPS against him and that’s a RED FLAG for me in this match up.  Never ever back a pitcher where the opponents have over a 1.00 OPS.  They have 6 HR in 73 AB vs. Blackburn and Blackburn is not a home run pitcher he is a groundball pitcher which just spells more trouble in this match up.  Damon who has gotten hot 9-27 last 6 games has a .318 career average while other such as Upton 3-7 and Shoppach 7-12 will keep turning over the line up on Friday night.  Twins are now 3-13 in their last 16 vs. RH starter and 6-20 when Blackburn is on 5 days rest.  My favorite stat comes from the umpire behind the plate Mark Carlson.  The home team is 39-17 in Carlson last 56 games behind home plate and on a side note he has never called a game for Blackburn or Davis.
 
Astros -106 3* Oddsline Error
JA Happ made 8 starts at Minute Maid Park last year and posted a nice 3.22 ERA and 4-1 record.  He faces a Padres team that is experiencing the same issues, hitting.  They have just a .206 average and they are #28 in runs scored this year with just 7 coming off lefties in 99 AB with a .626 OPS.  Astros had that problem too, but as of late they have been putting some good swings together in their last 5 games they have been scoring 6 runs per game and even their bullpen has been pitching in with a 2.35 ERA.  I really believe Happ is an All Star Pitcher and he had the one bad start at Cinci to open the year that has ballooned his ERA.  The Reds are machines and Happ bounced back nicely in his last start vs. the marlins going 7.2 IP and giving up 1 ER and if you have watched the Marlins over the last two days that team can hit and is loaded with young talent.  Astros face Aaron Harang who unlike Happ is off to a great start and again that really makes me happy because the line is nice in low when it could be in the -140’s to be honest.  Harang was another pitcher that was a nightmare on the road just 6.69 ERA compared to his 4.66 ERA at home so the Reds let him go and though he’ll benefit in the AL West from facing the Giants and playing that spacious ballpark this is one game I would not back him in.  Astros have seen him plenty of times and have 151 active at bats with a  .351 average and a .989 OPS.  Bill Hall  and Carlos Lee have killed him a combined 33-87 that’s an average of .379 between the two sluggers.  Bourne and Pence both have success as well with a .300 average on 12-40 hitting.  I think Harrang struggles here and he can’t afford it with the lack of run production by his offense.  Happ will cruise to a quality appearance and the Astros will manufacture runs at home to continue winning.
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