**104-55 MLB POD Regular Season! 4-Dime POD + 1-Dime Bonus
-
- Advertisement

1 post
• Page 1 of 1
**104-55 MLB POD Regular Season! 4-Dime POD + 1-Dime Bonus
Take Cardinals -136 (4-Dime POD) 1-Dime Bonus Under 7 runs
This is going to be an extremely interesting match up between the Cardinals and Dodgers. In game 1 we have a LHP in Randy Wolf going up against RHP Chris Carpenter. LHP and RHP are the weaknesses of the Cardinals and Dodgers so this game should be an interesting one, but I will get to a second why I am taking the Cardinals in Game #1.
Chris Carpenter in the post season in 2005-2006 is 5-1 and 3-0 in the divisional series! He has a 1.40 in the NLDS in 2005-2006, while Randy Wolf will make his debut in the playoffs for the first time in his career ever. Wolf has always struggled to pitch an entire season and he's been the Dodgers most consistent start, but I still feel that he has a disadvantage going up against the Cardinals.
Randy Wolf has pitched significantly better on the road this year with a 2.78 ERA than he has at home where he has a 3.63 ERA. At home he has given up 15 HR in just 10 more IP while on the road he gave up only 9. His strength is that he is basically un-hittable to left handed hitters. with a .159 average while righties have a .246 average and .722 OPS. This is where I just don't think it's a good match up for the Dodgers. Randy Wolf will have to face 7 of the 8 regular hitters for the Cardinals as righties. It will be a similar lineup that he faced when he lost to the Cardinals 6-1 when he went up against Chris Carpenter and pitched 6 IP 7H 2 ER 2BB in St. Louis. However, as I already mentioned this game will be played in LA where Wolf just does not seem to pitch as well. If I were the Dodgers I'd make sure he gets his start in St. Louis in Game #4. So why do I like the under? Well the Dodgers do have the best bullpen ERA in the national league at 3.18, and they have a 2.75 ERA at home! Along with that the Cardinals just don't seem to hit lefties as good as righties on the road they are hitting .241 (-.29 than RHP) scoring 3.73 runs per 9 (-1.42 R/9). However, like I mentioned I really like the match up advantage the Cardinals have against Wolf here.
Carpenter as I mentioned before has been solid in the post season and has the experience over the Dodgers hitters. With the exception of Manny who really struggled down the stretch are a very young inexperienced team. Dodgers are .212 against Carpenter with the only real success coming form two bench players in Thome and Pierre. Pitching on the west coast also has not been an issue for Carpenter as he posts a 3-0 record and a 1.50 ERA in 4 game starts this year. On the road this year he has a 2.05 ERA on the road with a 0.88 WHIP. His home ERA at 2.49 is a bit higher so do I trust him more on the road? Not really as the Cardinals hitters do not perform as well on the road which is why I also like the under. Carpenter though has a major advantage here as the Dodgers have really struggled down the stretch with a .223 average vs. RHP in their last 10 games while scoring just 2.73 runs per 9. IN two starts vs. them this year he has 2 wins and a 1.80 ERA. In his career the Cardinals have won 6 of his 6 starts. Dodgers at home are hitting RHP .260 (-.18 average than LHP) and scoring 4.47 runs per 9 (-.69 runs per 9 than LHP). Cardinals are also 25-4 in Carpenters last 29 games on 5 days rest and the Cardinals ironically are 14-6 in their last 20 vs. LH starters. Cardinals are also 10-4 in their last 14 in LA and 36-16 in their last 52 overall meetings.
The Under
Cards Under 10-4 in their L14 with Carpenter pitching and the total set at 7-8.5, Cards Under 5-1 in their L6 starts from Carpenter in Game 1's. While the under is 6-1-3 in Dodgers Last 10 game 1's with Wolf on the hill. The under is also 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in LA.
- Pick Bot
- Posts: 2364
- Joined: Thu May 21, 2009 12:21 am
1 post
• Page 1 of 1
Return to Freddy Wills Released Picks
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 0 guests