5.5* MAX MLB POD - Tigers vs. Rangers - Game #3 Guaranteed o

[Pick Bot]

Do not miss out on my 5.5* MLB POD, this line may move so get it early. We have dominated the regular season and that has continued into the post season on our MLB POD's. Tonight we look to continue and I have a full in depth analysis on both sides for tonight's play for your betting confidence so do not miss out! Guaranteed or the rest of the MLB Playoffs will be FREE!

Tigers -132 (5.5* MLB POD)
Colby Lewis has very good stats on the road this year so you'd wonder why I have such a large play on this game. Well looking at his game log I realized something and also remembered what division he pitches in. For one he pitches in the NL West the bulk of his road starts are facing the Angels, A's, and Mariners who have a league ranking in OPS vs. RHP ranked 19th, 24th, and 29th. his 3.43 ERA on the road is not nearly as good as it appears. He had just 2 road starts vs. an opponent over 17 road starts this year inside the top 10 in OPS vs. RHP. Those three were the Red Sox, and Tigers, and he combines for 7.1 IP and 8 ER so it's clear to me if he's facing a winning team on the road he struggles and that's exactly the truth as the Rangers are just 7-16 in his last 23 road starts vs. a winning team. He had a very easy road to this point and he has not pitched well vs. the Tigers on the road. In his last two starts in Texas he has just 11 IP, 2.18 WHIP and a 6.55 ERA. In his 5 career starts vs. the Tigers he's got a 7.76 ERA in 2 years. The main 8 guys who will be in the line up on Tuesday Jackson/Young/Santiago/Raburn/Peralta/Cabrera/Martinez/Avilla are a combined 31-82 with a .378 average vs. Lewis. Collectively the Tigers have 150 AB a .340 average and .901 OPS vs. Lewis and the Tigers are a very good home hitting team especially vs. RHP. They've had to face lefties in both games in this series facing a lefty makes it that much harder to pitch around Cabrera as Victor Martinez is much better vs. RHP .337 average on the year he's 5-11 vs. Lewis and was the best regular season hitter with RISP a stat they have struggled in the last couple games leaving 22 hitters on base. one would think the Rangers could just out score the Tigers again right?

Well the Rangers are a completely different team on the road. They have the #1 OPS at home with a .860 but on the road just .740 which is still pretty good, but makes them far less dangerous. Add in the fact that they'll have to face Doug Fister and I'm confident the Tigers get the win. Fister had a 2.99 ERA at home this year and in his lone start vs. Texas with the Tigers at home he had 7 IP 8 hits and 2 ER. 3 of his 6 career starts have been dominant starts. Fister is a very bad match up for the Rangers who love to hit the long ball he's given up just .46 HR/9 ranked 4th in the league and he's only given up 1 HR in his home starts in Detroit. Fister also has 8 straight starts of 1 ER or less and the Rangers are a combined .268 wit a .679 OPS not nearly the success that the Tigers have against Lewis. Tigers will be happy to face the righty they are 35-16in their last 51 vs. RH starter and 40-15 in their last 55 as favorites.

Last few points here for your and my confidence.. Lewis has gotten by and has been a bit lucky in my opinion because he's faced terrible hitting teams on the road for the majority. His BABIP is .262 well below the league average and it's considered lucky. He faces the Tigers who have a .318 BABIP and since Lewis is not a strike out pitcher this could be a bad mix for Lewis against a team that already has success. The Rangers bullpen has been great but they pitched 8 1/3 innings tonight when their starter could not get past the 3rd inning this is a huge advantage for the Tigers moving forward because it's been a strength that can now turn into a weakness for the Rangers.