1pm Early Bird Special NFL Package - Guaranteed or Sunday FR

[Pick Bot]

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Vikings +7 (4.4* NFL POD)
Vikings play the Redskins as the REdskins just came off a huge divisional win against the Giants. They are going to be ripe for a let down in my opinion and when you break down the numbers the Redskins really are not that different from the Vikings who have proved they can put up points and stop the run. Vikings have Ponder who has been very athletic in the pocket and rolling out and that seems to be the one thing that has given the Redskins issues athletic QB's.

Washington offensively is even with the Vikings with 3.1 attempts in the red zone, but the Vikings are putting those attempts into TD's 57% of the time which is 9th in the league while the Redskins are 26th at 43%. However that evens up a bit considering the Redskins are 2nd in RZ defense with just 39% of opponents attempts turning into TD's while Minny is 16th. I bring that up because it shows how even these teams are. I see this as a 3 or 4 point game the Redskins play a lot of close games and are 7-19 ATS in their last 26as a home favorite 3.5 to 10 points. I've made a lot of money on the Redskins, but I only play them as under dogs. The Vikings are not this far off from being a winning team they've been competitive pretty much all year and should be a TD dog on the road vs. a Redskins team that does not have much fire power.

Cardinals +4.5 (2.2* play)
Cardinals are still mathematically alive for the playoffs and the Bengals have gone ice cold 2-4 in their last 6 weeks while the Cardinals have 4 wins and 6 of 7 in their last 7. Dalton has not thrown for over 200 yards in the last 3 weeks in a row and he'll have his hands full once again as Arizona has a very under rated defense ranked 4th on 3rd down completion percentage allowing 32% conversions. Bengals again I like them just not as favorites they are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 as a favorite.

Let's talk red zone. Obviously Cinci is getting there more, but again %'s both on offense defense are better for Arizona they have a higher score % and a lower Score % allowed making it an easy way to cover 4.5 points. I can see them trading a TD for a field goal at least once and I don't see this as a double digit win for either team giving us a great shot to cover the 4.5 points.