1.1* FREE Play #SEC #MissSt vs #Auburn

[Pick Bot]

Miss State +1.5 1.1* FREE PLAY
I think we have value in the home team here as both of these teams are 3-14 in conference play and have similar statistical data. Miss State has much better defense in the H/A splits 40.9% to Auburns 45% road defense. Auburn actually allows 52.1% from two point range on the road compared with 47.1% at home while Miss State is +9.8 FTA Auburn is -6.7. I expect Miss State's guards to be aggressive as always and win the turnover battle as they are forcing 17+ turnovers at home this year. There is great value in this line and it is our free play of the day.