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3.3* NFL Thursday Night Divisional Rivalry

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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3.3* NFL Thursday Night Divisional Rivalry

Postby Pick Bot » Thu Oct 23, 2014 8:27 pm




Chargers +9.5 3.3* play
I've said it many times this year I don't like these Thursday night games. I would have played my NY Jets last week, again because 9-10 points is just too much for a divisional game where two teams know each other so well. The Jets had a chance to win it last week as I knew they would, but again I never play on or against my own team... Here we have the Chargers and Broncos who the Jets ironically faced in back to back weeks. I just don't see how the two teams are 9.5 point favorites and because the home team has dominated the Thursday match ups we are seeing quite a bit of value on the Chargers in my opinion.

San Diego is an offense that can dominate time of possession with their offense and that's how they stay in the games against the Broncos last year. They once again are 2nd in the league in 3rd down conversions at 51.46%. They have plugged in another RB who is looking good in Branden Oliver. The Chargers are all also off 2 negative performances losing to the Chiefs at home and struggling to beat the Raiders the week before, but this team had to have been looking towards this game with revenge. Peyton Manning just played on Sunday night and got the TD record.. I can see the Broncos taking it easy and being conservative in this match up.
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