Mich St. vs. Uconn- 3UNIT TOTAL PLAY

[Pick Bot]

vs.

I like the over and I think Vegas and the oddsmakers have made a mistake of falling into the trap and idea of the Big 10 scoring low numbers.  [/b]Okay they have backed that up as Louisville shot just 38% and scored just 52 points against the Spartans.  [/b]However, Uconn is one of the best rebounding teams in the nation grabbing 11.3 more than their opponents.  [/b]Mich St. also another good rebounding team at +10.4 and they out rebounded Louisville by 9.  [/b]Two things I do not see happening here today are Uconn shooting under 40% and getting out rebounded.  [/b]So what does that mean?  [/b]It means we will have a close game in the 2^nd half and we won’t see Michigan State dribbling the ball and running the clock out late. While I do not expect a crazy game, but I think both teams will try to get out in transition and they will both get to the FT line which will stop the clock and give us points.  [/b]Since the 2006 season the over is 41-20 when teams have won three games in a row and the line is between 3-6.5.  [/b]Both teams obviously have won three games to get here and that just means that this game is going to be close and because it will be close you won’t have a lopsided total which will push the game going under the total. Take Over 133.5 (3unit play)