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4.5** NFL POD Thursday Night Football #Dolphins vs. #Bengals

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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4.5** NFL POD Thursday Night Football #Dolphins vs. #Bengals

Postby Pick Bot » Thu Oct 31, 2013 8:32 pm




Dolphins +3 +105 4.5* NFL POD
Classic buy low sell high situation for the Dolphins who had the Patriots game in the bag with a 17-3 first half lead before crumbling. I don't see the Bengals as that much of a better team but they did just dominate the Jets so they are getting too much credit in this spot as a road favorite on a short week. This is their 3rd road game in 4 weeks with another one on deck vs. Baltimore which is a much more important game.

The Bengals are a different team on the road as they are 3rd in the league at home in opposing QB rating 60.4, but on the road ranked 19th with a 98.5 QB rating. The Dolphins meanwhile have allowed 2 passing TD's at home and only 5 in 6 games when you take out Drew Brees 4TD performance. This Dolphins defense is good and will keep them in most games. They are ranked 8th in red zone defense at home and 4th in red zone offense at home while the Bengals are 20th in red zone defense overall. The Bengals also are allowing 52.94 % third down conversions on the road as they have been struggling to get to the QB ranked 21st overall, but even worse on the road with a bad 4.94 % sack percentage. Give Tannehill time and he will produce and I see that happening here today as the Dolphins come up with a much needed win to get them back into the Wild Card discussion.
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