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Rays runline -115 (2.5 Dime play)
Garza was scorching hot before a slip up in his last start where he gave up 5 ER in 5 innings to Toronto. Before that he had 24 IP in three starts giving up 2 ER. I think he returns to that type of pitching against a weaker Royals line up. It won't take that big of a start for the Rays to cover the run line here as they have been super hot scoring 8.34 runs overall in their last 5 games. IN their last 10 they have a .323 average with 9.39 runs per 9 vs. RHP. The bullpen has been great while KC's bullpen is 6.44 ERA overall. Rays have a .367 average in 49 AB vs. Hochevar.

81% of the Rays wins have been by 1+ run, and they are 22-6 in their last 28 vs. KC. 17-4 in their last 21 vs. RH starter and over the longer term 83-31 in their last 114 vs. RH starter at home!