Saturday's Free Pick (14-8 L22) 2DIME PLAY

[Pick Bot]

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This line is crazy opening with -122 and before long I think the Nationals are going to be favorites here as they are now +102.. I'm not too concerned with who is favorites because I love the under in this situation especially when the line moves the other way it means to me they are expecting a quality start out of Lannan.

Lannan should have a quality start he had 7 innings of shutout ball vs. the Braves at home already this year and in his last 5 starts he owns a 2.23ERA. He is on 5 days rest here at home where he has a 2.02ERA. The under 10-2 in Lannan's last 12 as a dog and 7-1 l8 overall. Atlanta without three key guys in the lineup here Kelly Johnson (6-15 vs. Lannan) McClouth, and now McCann getting the day off for rest.

Braves won't throw just anyone up there Tommy Hanson has three straight starts with 0ER vs. solid teams in Boston, Yankees and the REds. He will face the 18th ranked offense on Independence day in what should be a very good pitcher's duel I think.

Take Braves Under 8.5 runs +100 (2DIMES)