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**3.5 Dime Civil War Pac-10 Championship Game- Oddsline Erro

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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**3.5 Dime Civil War Pac-10 Championship Game- Oddsline Erro

Postby Pick Bot » Thu Dec 03, 2009 10:06 pm


Tonight's Civil War game between Oregon and Oregon State should be a good one. While this won't be an NCAAF POD it will be an Oddsline Error play which are 8-2 this year in college football! What I consider to be an Oddsline Error is a line that is off should be higher or lower. Often times Oddsmakers will do this on purpose to get more action on one side and cash in. This is another one of those situations I feel we are lucky enough to take advantage of. Don't miss out it's guaranteed or 1 day to all sports picks free!

Take Oregon -9.5 @ -104 5-DIMES(3.5 Dime OE play)
I'm going with Oregon here while Oregon State scares many other people because of their strength on run defense it does not scare me. Now Oregon State can stop the run no doubt about it but nobody runs the option better than Oregon. This is not a straight up power I come stop us type of offense for the Ducks. It's an entirely new dynamic that Oregon State will struggle with just like they struggled a year ago when Oregon went to Oregon State and won 65-38. That defense had 8 seniors with 5 of them now playing in the NFL. This years team although stout and playing above expectations have just two starting seniors. Will they really be able to do a better job than last year's team? While it may not be quite as an impressive win for Oregon they still will win by double digits which is all we need. In Pac-10 home games this year and they've played some big ones they have won by 23, 27, 46, and 39. That's in a conference that is very solid from the top to the bottom minus Washington State. Now I also like Oregon because of the non-conference schedule they chose to play Boise State, Purdue who was a tough match up for them because of their passing game, and Utah. Oregon STate faced one solid team in Cincinnati which may or may not be as good as Boise State. The other two were UNLV and Portland State. Now that was a long long time ago and probably irrelevant in this game, but I thought it be necessary to show clients what they are getting themselves into if they are backing Oregon State.

The Ducks have at least 42 points in all seven of QB Masoli's Pac-10 starts this season and I doubt it will not meet that mark here today. Here is where the Ducks have the advantage. Oregon State has a solid offense too in fact much more balanced with the ability to pass or run the ball through the Rodgers brothers. Canfield has come through at QB with big time plays without turning the ball over. Oregon State has just 8 turn overs on the year 2nd to only Cincinnati. However, they have only taken the ball over 12 times. Advantage Oregon which is ranked 29th in TO margin. Canfield will have some troubles against Oregon's tested 29th ranked pass defense which has had injuries and backed up their play regardless. The strength for Oregon is that they can play offense or defense while Oregon STate's strength on defense won't be a strength leading to a double digit loss.

Masolli and the speedy LaMichael James will be too much to handle in this one. When Massoli wants or needs to throw the ball he will and can against Oregon State's 92nd ranked pass defense. They don't have the linebackers to cover both and Masolli is not afraid to throw the ball and he has a great weapon to do so in TE Ed Dickson. He is in my opinion the best TE in the country he's got 42 receptions and 551 yards and six TD's. He is athletic and has terrific hands. A few passes to him early will open up the running game for Massoli up the middle a place they have to prove they can run to take over this game early. Oregon at home is the biggest advantage in this one and they will back it up with a trip to the Rose Bowl to face Ohio State with a win here tonight.
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